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Trader

0xf51b1d560e33b1c56f8a9a4e8fec3d4800c0ca1b
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$230
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$6
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-6.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
36%
888W / 1,556L · 71 open
Win Return (30d)
38%
939W / 1,559L · 17 open
Trades (30d)
2,515
across 567 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$0.41
avg win $8 · loss $4
Profit Factor
0.86
$1,437 won / $1,667 lost
Reward / Risk
1.81
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$84
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $44,444 · all-time $584,008

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 39.0% 4,354W/6,822L 2192 $37,271
🌤 Weather 45.3% 259W/313L 130 $1,627
⚽ Sports 22.9% 19W/64L 19 $191
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/2L 5 $48
🎬 Culture 2 $24
🔬 Science 100.0% 4W/0L 2 $38

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

60 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 6? Yes 112 0.365 $40.90 $10.27 +33.5%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 7? No 42 0.750 $31.34 $2.93 +10.3%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 6? No 29 0.905 $26.30 $1.31 +5.2%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 7? No 30 0.870 $26.10 $-0.50 -1.9%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 7? No 40 0.650 $26.00 $-3.60 -12.2%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 6? No 28 0.910 $25.07 $3.82 +18.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 6? Yes 30 0.830 $24.89 $10.10 +68.2%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 7? Yes 120 0.180 $21.60 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Typhoon Dolphin be a "Typhoon" at Japan landfall? Yes 49 0.425 $20.74 $7.61 +58.0%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 6? No 20 0.964 $19.28 $0.07 +0.4%
Counter-Strike: Nordic Partners Gaming vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner GenOne 18 1.000 $18.17 $7.83 +75.7%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 6? Yes 165 0.110 $18.14 $-2.73 -13.1%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 6? Yes 703 0.021 $14.42 $6.46 +81.1%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 6? Yes 50 0.275 $13.72 $-0.05 -0.3%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 7? No 10 0.945 $9.85 $0.05 +0.5%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6? Yes 16 0.595 $9.50 $1.52 +19.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 6? Yes 120 0.075 $9.00 $-6.40 -41.6%
Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts? Yes 46 0.185 $8.51 $-5.67 -40.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 6? Yes 141 0.060 $8.48 $0.78 +10.1%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 6? Yes 53 0.155 $8.27 $0.27 +3.3%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 6? No 10 0.765 $7.65 $-0.75 -8.9%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 7? Yes 75 0.100 $7.50 $-2.75 -26.8%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? Yes 260 0.028 $7.27 $4.67 +180.0%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 6? Yes 307 0.020 $6.14 $1.78 +40.9%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 6? Yes 150 0.040 $6.00 $3.00 +100.0%