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Trader

0xf51b1d560e33b1c56f8a9a4e8fec3d4800c0ca1b
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$80
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-31.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
29%
44W / 110L
Win Return (30d)
29%
44W / 110L
Trades (30d)
154
across 49 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$1.63
avg win $5 · loss $4
Profit Factor
0.47
$70 won / $149 lost
Reward / Risk
1.06
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$56
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $43,922 · all-time $583,487

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 38.9% 4,334W/6,816L 2170 $36,485
🌤 Weather 45.3% 259W/313L 130 $1,606
⚽ Sports 22.9% 19W/64L 18 $175
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/2L 5 $48
🎬 Culture 2 $24
🔬 Science 100.0% 4W/0L 2 $38

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

57 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 6? No 55 0.805 $44.34 $1.85 +4.3%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 6? Yes 112 0.345 $38.65 $8.01 +26.2%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 6? No 36 0.898 $32.60 $-0.91 -2.7%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 7? No 42 0.765 $31.97 $3.56 +12.5%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 7? No 30 0.875 $26.25 $-0.35 -1.3%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 6? No 29 0.895 $26.01 $1.02 +4.1%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 7? No 40 0.650 $26.00 $-3.60 -12.2%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 7? Yes 120 0.185 $22.20 $0.60 +2.8%
Will Typhoon Dolphin be a "Typhoon" at Japan landfall? Yes 49 0.435 $21.23 $8.10 +61.7%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 6? Yes 30 0.680 $20.39 $5.60 +37.8%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 6? No 20 0.965 $19.29 $0.09 +0.4%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 6? Yes 167 0.100 $16.73 $-4.44 -21.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 6? Yes 100 0.145 $14.50 $1.70 +13.3%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 6? Yes 50 0.265 $13.22 $-0.55 -4.0%
Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts? Yes 46 0.215 $9.89 $-4.29 -30.3%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 6? Yes 703 0.012 $8.44 $0.48 +6.0%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6? Yes 16 0.515 $8.22 $0.24 +3.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? Yes 260 0.032 $8.18 $5.58 +215.0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 6? No 10 0.765 $7.65 $-0.75 -8.9%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 6? Yes 374 0.020 $7.48 $2.17 +40.9%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 7? Yes 53 0.100 $5.28 $-2.97 -36.0%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 6? Yes 53 0.090 $4.80 $-3.20 -40.0%
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 500 0.009 $4.75 $-0.25 -5.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 6? Yes 81 0.050 $4.07 $-2.44 -37.5%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 7? Yes 110 0.035 $3.85 $-2.25 -36.9%