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Trader

0xf51b1d560e33b1c56f8a9a4e8fec3d4800c0ca1b
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$9
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$4
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-11.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
61%
20W / 13L · 8 open
Win Return (30d)
68%
28W / 13L
Trades (30d)
41
across 14 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$0.76
avg win $1 · loss $4
Profit Factor
0.49
$9 won / $18 lost
Reward / Risk
0.35
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $44,519 · all-time $584,008

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 39.0% 4,362W/6,831L 2192 $37,271
🌤 Weather 45.3% 259W/313L 130 $1,627
⚽ Sports 22.9% 19W/64L 19 $191
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/2L 5 $48
🎬 Culture 2 $24
🔬 Science 100.0% 4W/0L 2 $38

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

57 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 6? Yes 112 0.375 $42.02 $11.39 +37.2%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 7? No 42 0.750 $31.34 $2.93 +10.3%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 6? No 28 0.965 $26.58 $5.33 +25.1%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 7? No 40 0.660 $26.40 $-3.20 -10.8%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 7? No 30 0.875 $26.25 $-0.35 -1.3%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 6? Yes 30 0.830 $24.89 $10.10 +68.2%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 7? Yes 120 0.185 $22.20 $0.60 +2.8%
Will Typhoon Dolphin be a "Typhoon" at Japan landfall? Yes 49 0.430 $20.98 $7.86 +59.8%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 6? No 20 0.974 $19.47 $0.27 +1.4%
Counter-Strike: Nordic Partners Gaming vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner GenOne 18 1.000 $18.17 $7.83 +75.7%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 6? Yes 165 0.110 $18.14 $-2.73 -13.1%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 6? Yes 50 0.275 $13.72 $-0.05 -0.3%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 6? Yes 703 0.019 $13.72 $5.75 +72.2%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 7? No 10 0.945 $9.85 $0.05 +0.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 6? Yes 120 0.080 $9.60 $-5.80 -37.7%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6? Yes 16 0.580 $9.26 $1.28 +16.0%
Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts? Yes 46 0.190 $8.74 $-5.44 -38.4%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 6? No 10 0.765 $7.65 $-0.75 -8.9%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 6? Yes 53 0.140 $7.47 $-0.53 -6.7%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? Yes 260 0.028 $7.14 $4.54 +175.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 7? Yes 75 0.095 $7.12 $-3.12 -30.5%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 6? Yes 307 0.020 $6.14 $1.78 +40.9%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 7? Yes 110 0.045 $4.95 $-1.15 -18.8%
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 500 0.009 $4.75 $-0.25 -5.0%
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? No 25 0.175 $4.37 $0.12 +2.9%