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Trader

0xf51b1d560e33b1c56f8a9a4e8fec3d4800c0ca1b
Scoped to Science — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$2
Science · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$3
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+9.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
4W / 0L · 1 open
Win Return (30d)
80%
4W / 1L
Trades (30d)
5
across 2 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$1.87
avg win $2
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $44,290 · all-time $583,698

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 38.9% 4,337W/6,822L 2170 $36,485
🌤 Weather 45.3% 259W/313L 130 $1,606
⚽ Sports 22.9% 19W/64L 18 $175
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/2L 5 $48
🎬 Culture 2 $24
🔬 Science 100.0% 4W/0L 2 $38

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

57 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 6? Yes 112 0.355 $39.78 $9.15 +29.9%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 7? No 42 0.755 $31.55 $3.14 +11.1%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 6? No 29 0.915 $26.59 $1.60 +6.4%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 7? No 40 0.650 $26.00 $-3.60 -12.2%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 7? No 30 0.865 $25.95 $-0.65 -2.4%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 6? No 28 0.895 $24.66 $3.40 +16.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 6? Yes 30 0.760 $22.79 $8.00 +54.1%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 7? Yes 120 0.185 $22.20 $0.60 +2.8%
Will Typhoon Dolphin be a "Typhoon" at Japan landfall? Yes 49 0.425 $20.74 $7.61 +58.0%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 6? No 20 0.978 $19.55 $0.34 +1.8%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 6? Yes 165 0.105 $17.32 $-3.55 -17.0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 6? Yes 50 0.275 $13.72 $-0.05 -0.3%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 6? Yes 703 0.018 $12.31 $4.35 +54.6%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 6? Yes 120 0.095 $11.40 $-4.00 -26.0%
Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts? Yes 46 0.190 $8.74 $-5.44 -38.4%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6? Yes 16 0.540 $8.62 $0.64 +8.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? Yes 260 0.030 $7.79 $5.19 +200.0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 6? No 10 0.765 $7.65 $-0.75 -8.9%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 7? Yes 75 0.100 $7.50 $-2.75 -26.8%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 6? Yes 53 0.140 $7.47 $-0.53 -6.7%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 6? Yes 150 0.045 $6.75 $3.75 +125.0%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 6? Yes 307 0.020 $6.14 $1.78 +40.9%
Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 Winner Butterfly 5 1.000 $5.08 $0.61 +13.6%
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 500 0.009 $4.75 $-0.25 -5.0%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 6? No 4 0.910 $4.02 $-0.06 -1.4%