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Trader

0xf51b1d560e33b1c56f8a9a4e8fec3d4800c0ca1b
PnL (30d)
+$1,954
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$96
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+11.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
39%
4,334W / 6,816L · 413 open
Win Return (30d)
40%
4,542W / 6,951L · 70 open
Trades (30d)
11,563
across 2,170 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
+$0.93
avg win $12 · loss $5
Profit Factor
1.28
$8,871 won / $6,917 lost
Reward / Risk
2.46
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$167
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $42,925 · all-time $582,490

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 38.9% 4,334W/6,816L 2170 $36,485
🌤 Weather 45.3% 259W/313L 130 $1,606
⚽ Sports 22.9% 19W/64L 18 $175
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/2L 5 $48
🎬 Culture 2 $24
🔬 Science 100.0% 4W/0L 2 $38

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

58 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 6? Yes 112 0.345 $38.65 $8.01 +26.2%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 6? No 36 0.898 $32.62 $-0.89 -2.7%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 7? No 42 0.765 $31.97 $3.56 +12.5%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 7? No 30 0.875 $26.25 $-0.35 -1.3%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 6? No 33 0.780 $26.10 $1.37 +5.6%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 6? No 29 0.880 $25.57 $0.58 +2.3%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 6? Yes 100 0.250 $25.00 $12.20 +95.3%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 7? No 40 0.595 $23.80 $-5.80 -19.6%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 7? Yes 120 0.195 $23.40 $1.80 +8.3%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 6? Yes 167 0.115 $19.24 $-1.93 -9.1%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 6? No 20 0.957 $19.13 $-0.07 -0.4%
Will Typhoon Dolphin be a "Typhoon" at Japan landfall? Yes 49 0.385 $18.79 $5.66 +43.1%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 6? Yes 30 0.615 $18.44 $3.65 +24.7%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 6? Yes 50 0.265 $13.22 $-0.55 -4.0%
Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts? Yes 46 0.215 $9.89 $-4.29 -30.3%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 6? Yes 703 0.012 $8.44 $0.48 +6.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? Yes 260 0.033 $8.44 $5.84 +225.0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 6? No 10 0.785 $7.85 $-0.55 -6.5%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6? Yes 16 0.475 $7.58 $-0.40 -5.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 6? Yes 81 0.075 $6.11 $-0.40 -6.2%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 6? Yes 53 0.110 $5.87 $-2.13 -26.7%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 7? Yes 50 0.105 $5.25 $-2.75 -34.4%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 7? Yes 110 0.045 $4.95 $-1.15 -18.8%
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 500 0.009 $4.75 $-0.25 -5.0%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 6? Yes 374 0.010 $3.74 $-1.57 -29.5%