| Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? |
Yes |
76 |
0.548 |
$41.59 |
$-6.18 |
-12.9% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 5? |
No |
41 |
1.000 |
$40.58 |
$12.16 |
+42.8% |
| Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2028? |
Yes |
58 |
0.450 |
$26.10 |
$-9.28 |
-26.2% |
| Will CZ post 0-19 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
Yes |
46 |
0.495 |
$22.91 |
$-0.23 |
-1.0% |
| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? |
Yes |
100 |
0.203 |
$20.34 |
$-9.66 |
-32.2% |
| Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30? |
No |
27 |
0.635 |
$17.14 |
$-2.83 |
-14.2% |
| Will Casemiro attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
Yes |
76 |
0.170 |
$12.92 |
$-3.04 |
-19.0% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? |
No |
48 |
0.260 |
$12.35 |
$-25.17 |
-67.1% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? |
Yes |
28 |
0.430 |
$12.04 |
$0.28 |
+2.4% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026? |
No |
65 |
0.180 |
$11.68 |
$-5.19 |
-30.8% |
| Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
No |
45 |
0.240 |
$10.80 |
$-6.75 |
-38.5% |
| Will Bradley Barcola join Liverpool? |
No |
25 |
0.416 |
$10.40 |
$1.41 |
+15.7% |
| Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.405 |
$8.10 |
$-2.90 |
-26.4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 6? |
No |
11 |
0.615 |
$6.92 |
$-0.06 |
-0.8% |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $960 Week of August 3 2026? |
Yes |
8 |
0.765 |
$6.11 |
$4.99 |
+446.4% |
| Will Hollie Chadwick win the 2026 Henderson mayoral election? |
Yes |
36 |
0.135 |
$4.86 |
$-12.06 |
-71.3% |
| Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9? |
Yes |
23 |
0.185 |
$4.32 |
$-4.32 |
-50.0% |
| Will LOS Qualify for the CBLOL Split 2 Playoffs |
No |
54 |
0.045 |
$2.43 |
$-9.99 |
-80.4% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026? |
Yes |
2 |
0.480 |
$1.08 |
$0.02 |
+2.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6? |
No |
2 |
0.425 |
$0.96 |
$-0.21 |
-18.3% |
| Will the Colorado 2026 Senate race be within 5%? |
Yes |
30 |
0.029 |
$0.89 |
$-11.41 |
-92.8% |
| Will Javokhir Sindarov Win the 2026 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz Tournament |
No |
1 |
0.620 |
$0.81 |
$-0.07 |
-7.5% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1? |
Yes |
4 |
0.180 |
$0.72 |
$-0.24 |
-25.0% |
| Will Genmo AI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
67 |
0.003 |
$0.17 |
$-24.62 |
-99.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 5? |
Yes |
33 |
0.002 |
$0.05 |
$-16.12 |
-99.7% |