| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on August 6? |
No |
200 |
0.600 |
$120.00 |
$-8.00 |
-6.2% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026? |
No |
340 |
0.315 |
$107.04 |
$18.69 |
+21.2% |
| Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
Yes |
200 |
0.330 |
$66.00 |
$-20.00 |
-23.3% |
| Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? |
Yes |
76 |
0.549 |
$41.63 |
$-6.14 |
-12.9% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on August 5? |
No |
41 |
0.993 |
$40.88 |
$19.05 |
+87.3% |
| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? |
Yes |
200 |
0.203 |
$40.68 |
$-19.32 |
-32.2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 6? |
No |
78 |
0.445 |
$34.73 |
$-7.42 |
-17.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 5? |
No |
41 |
0.720 |
$29.23 |
$0.81 |
+2.9% |
| Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2028? |
Yes |
58 |
0.470 |
$27.26 |
$-8.12 |
-23.0% |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? |
Yes |
34 |
0.680 |
$23.33 |
$-1.37 |
-5.6% |
| Will CZ post 0-19 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
Yes |
46 |
0.485 |
$22.45 |
$-0.69 |
-3.0% |
| Will Casemiro attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
Yes |
152 |
0.105 |
$15.96 |
$-15.96 |
-50.0% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? |
Yes |
28 |
0.465 |
$13.02 |
$1.26 |
+10.7% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? |
No |
48 |
0.220 |
$10.45 |
$-27.07 |
-72.2% |
| Will Bradley Barcola join Liverpool? |
No |
25 |
0.416 |
$10.39 |
$1.40 |
+15.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 5? |
Yes |
33 |
0.290 |
$9.57 |
$-6.60 |
-40.8% |
| Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.415 |
$8.30 |
$-2.70 |
-24.5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 6? |
No |
11 |
0.645 |
$7.26 |
$0.28 |
+4.0% |
| Will Hollie Chadwick win the 2026 Henderson mayoral election? |
Yes |
36 |
0.135 |
$4.86 |
$-12.06 |
-71.3% |
| Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9? |
Yes |
23 |
0.205 |
$4.78 |
$-3.85 |
-44.6% |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $960 Week of August 3 2026? |
Yes |
8 |
0.460 |
$3.67 |
$2.56 |
+228.6% |
| Will LOS Qualify for the CBLOL Split 2 Playoffs |
No |
54 |
0.050 |
$2.70 |
$-9.72 |
-78.3% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026? |
Yes |
2 |
0.425 |
$0.96 |
$-0.10 |
-9.6% |
| Will the Colorado 2026 Senate race be within 5%? |
Yes |
30 |
0.028 |
$0.82 |
$-11.47 |
-93.3% |
| Will Javokhir Sindarov Win the 2026 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz Tournament |
No |
1 |
0.625 |
$0.81 |
$-0.06 |
-6.7% |