| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on August 6? |
No |
200 |
0.600 |
$120.00 |
$-8.00 |
-6.2% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026? |
No |
340 |
0.265 |
$90.05 |
$1.70 |
+1.9% |
| Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
Yes |
200 |
0.355 |
$71.00 |
$-15.00 |
-17.4% |
| Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? |
Yes |
76 |
0.548 |
$41.59 |
$-6.18 |
-12.9% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on August 5? |
No |
41 |
1.000 |
$41.16 |
$19.34 |
+88.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 6? |
No |
78 |
0.525 |
$40.98 |
$-1.17 |
-2.8% |
| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? |
Yes |
200 |
0.203 |
$40.68 |
$-19.32 |
-32.2% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 6? |
No |
71 |
0.485 |
$34.44 |
$-3.90 |
-10.2% |
| Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30? |
No |
54 |
0.590 |
$31.86 |
$-8.10 |
-20.3% |
| Will Luka Modric attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
No |
60 |
0.520 |
$31.19 |
$-19.20 |
-38.1% |
| Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2028? |
Yes |
58 |
0.455 |
$26.39 |
$-8.99 |
-25.4% |
| Will Casemiro attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
Yes |
152 |
0.170 |
$25.84 |
$-6.08 |
-19.0% |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? |
Yes |
34 |
0.680 |
$23.33 |
$-1.37 |
-5.6% |
| Will CZ post 0-19 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
Yes |
46 |
0.495 |
$22.91 |
$-0.23 |
-1.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 5? |
No |
41 |
0.510 |
$20.71 |
$-7.71 |
-27.1% |
| Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
No |
28 |
0.470 |
$13.16 |
$-3.64 |
-21.7% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? |
Yes |
28 |
0.445 |
$12.46 |
$0.70 |
+6.0% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? |
No |
48 |
0.250 |
$11.88 |
$-25.65 |
-68.4% |
| Will Bradley Barcola join Liverpool? |
No |
25 |
0.416 |
$10.40 |
$1.41 |
+15.7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 5? |
Yes |
33 |
0.290 |
$9.57 |
$-6.60 |
-40.8% |
| Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.400 |
$8.00 |
$-3.00 |
-27.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 6? |
No |
11 |
0.625 |
$7.03 |
$0.06 |
+0.8% |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $960 Week of August 3 2026? |
Yes |
8 |
0.745 |
$5.95 |
$4.83 |
+432.1% |
| Will Hollie Chadwick win the 2026 Henderson mayoral election? |
Yes |
36 |
0.135 |
$4.86 |
$-12.06 |
-71.3% |
| Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9? |
Yes |
23 |
0.185 |
$4.32 |
$-4.32 |
-50.0% |