| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on August 6? |
No |
200 |
0.610 |
$122.00 |
$-6.00 |
-4.7% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026? |
No |
340 |
0.270 |
$91.75 |
$3.40 |
+3.8% |
| Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
Yes |
200 |
0.355 |
$71.00 |
$-15.00 |
-17.4% |
| Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? |
Yes |
76 |
0.548 |
$41.56 |
$-6.22 |
-13.0% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on August 5? |
No |
41 |
0.993 |
$40.88 |
$19.05 |
+87.3% |
| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? |
Yes |
200 |
0.203 |
$40.68 |
$-19.32 |
-32.2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 6? |
No |
78 |
0.515 |
$40.20 |
$-1.95 |
-4.6% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 6? |
No |
71 |
0.500 |
$35.50 |
$-2.84 |
-7.4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 5? |
No |
41 |
0.775 |
$31.46 |
$3.04 |
+10.7% |
| Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30? |
No |
54 |
0.575 |
$31.05 |
$-8.91 |
-22.3% |
| Will Casemiro attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
Yes |
152 |
0.175 |
$26.60 |
$-5.32 |
-16.7% |
| Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2028? |
Yes |
58 |
0.440 |
$25.52 |
$-9.86 |
-27.9% |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? |
Yes |
34 |
0.680 |
$23.33 |
$-1.37 |
-5.6% |
| Will CZ post 0-19 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
Yes |
46 |
0.495 |
$22.91 |
$-0.23 |
-1.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 5? |
Yes |
33 |
0.635 |
$20.95 |
$4.79 |
+29.6% |
| Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
No |
28 |
0.475 |
$13.30 |
$-3.50 |
-20.8% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? |
Yes |
28 |
0.445 |
$12.46 |
$0.70 |
+6.0% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? |
No |
48 |
0.220 |
$10.45 |
$-27.07 |
-72.2% |
| Will Bradley Barcola join Liverpool? |
No |
25 |
0.418 |
$10.44 |
$1.45 |
+16.1% |
| Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.405 |
$8.10 |
$-2.90 |
-26.4% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? |
Yes |
35 |
0.215 |
$7.54 |
$0.53 |
+7.5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 6? |
No |
11 |
0.630 |
$7.09 |
$0.11 |
+1.6% |
| Will Hollie Chadwick win the 2026 Henderson mayoral election? |
Yes |
36 |
0.135 |
$4.86 |
$-12.06 |
-71.3% |
| Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9? |
Yes |
23 |
0.190 |
$4.43 |
$-4.20 |
-48.6% |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $960 Week of August 3 2026? |
Yes |
8 |
0.405 |
$3.23 |
$2.12 |
+189.3% |