| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on August 6? |
No |
200 |
0.590 |
$118.00 |
$-10.00 |
-7.8% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026? |
No |
340 |
0.305 |
$103.64 |
$15.29 |
+17.3% |
| Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
Yes |
200 |
0.355 |
$71.00 |
$-15.00 |
-17.4% |
| Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? |
Yes |
76 |
0.549 |
$41.63 |
$-6.14 |
-12.9% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on August 5? |
No |
41 |
0.993 |
$40.88 |
$19.05 |
+87.3% |
| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? |
Yes |
200 |
0.203 |
$40.68 |
$-19.32 |
-32.2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 6? |
No |
78 |
0.515 |
$40.20 |
$-1.95 |
-4.6% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 6? |
No |
71 |
0.520 |
$36.92 |
$-1.42 |
-3.7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 5? |
No |
41 |
0.855 |
$34.71 |
$6.29 |
+22.1% |
| Will Casemiro attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
Yes |
152 |
0.175 |
$26.60 |
$-5.32 |
-16.7% |
| Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2028? |
Yes |
58 |
0.450 |
$26.10 |
$-9.28 |
-26.2% |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? |
Yes |
34 |
0.680 |
$23.33 |
$-1.37 |
-5.6% |
| Will CZ post 0-19 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
Yes |
46 |
0.485 |
$22.45 |
$-0.69 |
-3.0% |
| Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
No |
28 |
0.495 |
$13.86 |
$-2.94 |
-17.5% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? |
Yes |
28 |
0.455 |
$12.74 |
$0.98 |
+8.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 5? |
Yes |
33 |
0.375 |
$12.38 |
$-3.79 |
-23.5% |
| Will Bradley Barcola join Liverpool? |
No |
25 |
0.416 |
$10.39 |
$1.40 |
+15.6% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? |
No |
48 |
0.215 |
$10.21 |
$-27.31 |
-72.8% |
| Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.410 |
$8.20 |
$-2.80 |
-25.5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 6? |
No |
11 |
0.650 |
$7.32 |
$0.34 |
+4.8% |
| Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9? |
Yes |
23 |
0.225 |
$5.25 |
$-3.38 |
-39.2% |
| Will Hollie Chadwick win the 2026 Henderson mayoral election? |
Yes |
36 |
0.135 |
$4.86 |
$-12.06 |
-71.3% |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $960 Week of August 3 2026? |
Yes |
8 |
0.410 |
$3.27 |
$2.16 |
+192.8% |
| Will LOS Qualify for the CBLOL Split 2 Playoffs |
No |
54 |
0.045 |
$2.43 |
$-9.99 |
-80.4% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026? |
Yes |
2 |
0.430 |
$0.97 |
$-0.09 |
-8.5% |