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Trader leaderboard/romanew-crypto

romanew-crypto

0xdd3beadff0dee12b8f8d572ae55a6b8bc1fc9f3a
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$7
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$14
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-28.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
60%
3W / 2L · 23 open
Win Return (30d)
90%
19W / 2L · 7 open
Trades (30d)
28
across 9 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$2.27
avg win $0 · loss $3
Profit Factor
0.03
$0 won / $7 lost
Reward / Risk
0.06
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $5,881 · all-time $210,495

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 76.0% 865W/273L 606 $4,948
💵 Economy 90.3% 28W/3L 48 $299
₿ Crypto 88.9% 24W/3L 38 $237
🏛 Politics 55.6% 5W/4L 32 $148
🎬 Culture 40.0% 2W/3L 16 $88
🤖 Tech 60.0% 3W/2L 14 $75
🌤 Weather 1 $14
🔬 Science 1 $14
⚽ Sports 1 $0

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

112 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? Yes 117 0.060 $7.00 $0.00 +0.0%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in August? Yes 41 0.165 $6.79 $-0.21 -2.9%
Chuck Edwards out as US Rep before December 31, 2026? No 18 0.325 $5.69 $2.19 +62.5%
Will Michael be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? Yes 111 0.048 $5.29 $-1.71 -24.4%
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes 40 0.130 $5.20 $-1.80 -25.7%
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes 61 0.076 $4.63 $-1.86 -28.7%
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? Yes 88 0.051 $4.54 $-2.47 -35.2%
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? Yes 58 0.075 $4.35 $-0.15 -3.3%
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $APBC? Yes 78 0.054 $4.20 $-2.80 -40.0%
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $7B in 2026? Yes 24 0.167 $4.00 $-0.96 -19.3%
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 69 0.057 $3.91 $0.41 +11.8%
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? Yes 70 0.055 $3.85 $0.35 +10.0%
Will SoundHound AI announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes 54 0.070 $3.74 $-3.26 -46.5%
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $25B by December 31? Yes 13 0.275 $3.70 $0.20 +5.8%
Will Shakira's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by August 31? No 6 0.608 $3.68 $0.18 +5.2%
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? Yes 42 0.088 $3.67 $0.17 +4.8%
Will ThreadGuy appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? Yes 22 0.169 $3.63 $1.13 +45.3%
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? Yes 56 0.062 $3.44 $-0.06 -1.6%
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes 12 0.280 $3.36 $-0.12 -3.4%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes 21 0.160 $3.36 $0.40 +13.5%
Squid FDV above $100M one day after launch No 18 0.190 $3.33 $-0.17 -5.0%
Will Stranger Things be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? Yes 43 0.076 $3.27 $0.21 +7.0%
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes 67 0.049 $3.26 $-0.50 -13.3%
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? Yes 7 0.455 $3.25 $-0.25 -7.1%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 in August? No 69 0.046 $3.19 $-0.31 -8.8%