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Trader leaderboard/romanew-crypto

romanew-crypto

0xdd3beadff0dee12b8f8d572ae55a6b8bc1fc9f3a
Scoped to Science — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$6
Science · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$14
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-16.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
65%
13W / 7L · 23 open
Win Return (30d)
81%
29W / 7L · 7 open
Trades (30d)
43
across 12 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$1.08
avg win $1 · loss $5
Profit Factor
0.35
$3 won / $10 lost
Reward / Risk
0.17
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $6,152 · all-time $210,767

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 75.9% 870W/277L 606 $4,948
💵 Economy 89.2% 33W/4L 48 $299
₿ Crypto 87.9% 29W/4L 38 $237
🏛 Politics 60.0% 6W/4L 32 $148
🎬 Culture 40.0% 2W/3L 16 $88
🤖 Tech 60.0% 3W/2L 14 $75
🌤 Weather 1 $14
🔬 Science 1 $14
⚽ Sports 1 $0

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

105 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? Yes 117 0.055 $6.42 $-0.58 -8.3%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in August? Yes 41 0.155 $6.38 $-0.62 -8.8%
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes 40 0.130 $5.20 $-1.80 -25.7%
Will Michael be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? Yes 111 0.043 $4.78 $-2.22 -31.7%
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes 61 0.073 $4.45 $-2.04 -31.5%
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? Yes 58 0.075 $4.35 $-0.15 -3.3%
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $APBC? Yes 78 0.054 $4.20 $-2.80 -40.0%
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $7B in 2026? Yes 24 0.169 $4.05 $-0.91 -18.4%
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? Yes 70 0.055 $3.85 $0.35 +10.0%
Will SoundHound AI announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes 54 0.070 $3.74 $-3.26 -46.5%
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $25B by December 31? Yes 13 0.275 $3.70 $0.20 +5.8%
Will Shakira's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by August 31? No 6 0.602 $3.65 $0.15 +4.3%
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? Yes 42 0.085 $3.54 $0.04 +1.2%
Will ThreadGuy appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? Yes 22 0.161 $3.47 $0.97 +38.8%
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes 12 0.285 $3.42 $-0.06 -1.8%
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? Yes 7 0.465 $3.32 $-0.18 -5.1%
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? Yes 56 0.059 $3.31 $-0.19 -5.6%
Will Stranger Things be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? Yes 43 0.076 $3.27 $0.21 +7.0%
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes 67 0.049 $3.26 $-0.50 -13.3%
Will Trump say "Central Casting" in August? No 64 0.051 $3.21 $-0.29 -8.2%
Will Hibachi launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes 25 0.128 $3.16 $0.33 +11.8%
Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? Yes 12 0.270 $3.15 $-0.23 -6.9%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes 21 0.145 $3.06 $0.09 +3.2%
Will Congress override any veto in 2026? Yes 41 0.072 $2.93 $-0.57 -16.3%
Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31? Yes 35 0.084 $2.92 $-0.58 -16.5%