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Trader leaderboard/romanew-crypto

romanew-crypto

0xdd3beadff0dee12b8f8d572ae55a6b8bc1fc9f3a
PnL (30d)
+$141
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$68
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+5.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
76%
865W / 273L · 716 open
Win Return (30d)
77%
1,414W / 428L · 12 open
Trades (30d)
1,854
across 606 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$0.44
avg win $2 · loss $3
Profit Factor
1.43
$467 won / $326 lost
Reward / Risk
0.69
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$94
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $5,458 · all-time $210,073

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 76.0% 865W/273L 606 $4,948
💵 Economy 90.3% 28W/3L 49 $316
₿ Crypto 88.9% 24W/3L 38 $241
🏛 Politics 69.2% 9W/4L 36 $163
🎬 Culture 60.0% 6W/4L 20 $107
🤖 Tech 60.0% 3W/2L 14 $75
🌤 Weather 1 $14
🔬 Science 1 $14
⚽ Sports 1 $0

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

108 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? Yes 117 0.060 $7.00 $0.00 +0.0%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in August? Yes 41 0.165 $6.79 $-0.21 -2.9%
Will Michael be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? Yes 111 0.048 $5.35 $-1.65 -23.6%
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes 61 0.084 $5.12 $-1.37 -21.1%
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes 40 0.115 $4.60 $-2.40 -34.2%
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? Yes 88 0.051 $4.45 $-2.56 -36.5%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 in August? No 69 0.064 $4.36 $0.86 +24.5%
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? Yes 58 0.075 $4.35 $-0.15 -3.3%
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $APBC? Yes 78 0.054 $4.20 $-2.80 -40.0%
Will Shakira's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by August 31? No 6 0.691 $4.18 $0.69 +19.6%
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $7B in 2026? Yes 24 0.169 $4.05 $-0.91 -18.4%
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? Yes 28 0.139 $3.86 $0.36 +10.3%
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? Yes 70 0.055 $3.85 $0.35 +10.0%
Will SoundHound AI announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes 54 0.070 $3.74 $-3.26 -46.5%
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $25B by December 31? Yes 13 0.275 $3.70 $0.20 +5.8%
Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? Yes 12 0.310 $3.62 $0.23 +6.9%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $145 in August? Yes 11 0.300 $3.28 $-0.22 -6.3%
Will Stranger Things be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? Yes 43 0.076 $3.27 $0.21 +7.0%
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes 67 0.049 $3.26 $-0.50 -13.3%
Will ThreadGuy appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? Yes 22 0.151 $3.25 $0.75 +30.2%
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? Yes 7 0.455 $3.25 $-0.25 -7.1%
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes 12 0.270 $3.24 $-0.24 -6.9%
Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31? Yes 35 0.089 $3.13 $-0.37 -10.5%
Will Congress override any veto in 2026? Yes 41 0.072 $2.93 $-0.57 -16.3%
Will Matt Schultz advance from the AK-AL primary election? No 7 0.384 $2.86 $-0.64 -18.3%