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Trader leaderboard/romanew-crypto

romanew-crypto

0xdd3beadff0dee12b8f8d572ae55a6b8bc1fc9f3a
Scoped to Tech — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$12
Tech · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$4
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-5.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
59%
57W / 39L · 74 open
Win Return (30d)
61%
99W / 64L · 7 open
Trades (30d)
170
across 50 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$0.59
avg win $2 · loss $3
Profit Factor
0.67
$25 won / $37 lost
Reward / Risk
0.73
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$6
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $5,615 · all-time $210,229

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 76.0% 865W/273L 606 $4,948
💵 Economy 90.3% 28W/3L 49 $316
₿ Crypto 88.9% 24W/3L 38 $241
🏛 Politics 69.2% 9W/4L 36 $163
🎬 Culture 60.0% 6W/4L 20 $107
🤖 Tech 60.0% 3W/2L 14 $75
🌤 Weather 1 $14
🔬 Science 1 $14
⚽ Sports 1 $0

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

108 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? Yes 117 0.060 $7.00 $0.00 +0.0%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in August? Yes 41 0.165 $6.79 $-0.21 -2.9%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in August? No 22 0.255 $5.58 $2.08 +59.4%
Will Michael be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? Yes 111 0.048 $5.35 $-1.65 -23.6%
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes 61 0.082 $5.00 $-1.50 -23.0%
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes 40 0.120 $4.80 $-2.20 -31.4%
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? Yes 88 0.051 $4.45 $-2.56 -36.5%
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? Yes 58 0.075 $4.35 $-0.15 -3.3%
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $APBC? Yes 78 0.054 $4.20 $-2.80 -40.0%
Will Shakira's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by August 31? No 6 0.689 $4.17 $0.68 +19.3%
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? Yes 42 0.099 $4.13 $0.62 +17.9%
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $7B in 2026? Yes 24 0.169 $4.05 $-0.91 -18.4%
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? Yes 70 0.055 $3.85 $0.35 +10.0%
Will SoundHound AI announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes 54 0.070 $3.74 $-3.26 -46.5%
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $25B by December 31? Yes 13 0.275 $3.70 $0.20 +5.8%
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? Yes 28 0.133 $3.68 $0.18 +5.2%
Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? Yes 12 0.295 $3.45 $0.06 +1.7%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $145 in August? Yes 11 0.300 $3.28 $-0.22 -6.3%
Will Stranger Things be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? Yes 43 0.076 $3.27 $0.21 +7.0%
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes 67 0.049 $3.26 $-0.50 -13.3%
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? Yes 7 0.455 $3.25 $-0.25 -7.1%
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes 12 0.270 $3.24 $-0.24 -6.9%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 in August? No 69 0.046 $3.16 $-0.34 -9.8%
Will Congress override any veto in 2026? Yes 41 0.072 $2.93 $-0.57 -16.3%
Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31? Yes 35 0.084 $2.92 $-0.58 -16.5%