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Trader leaderboard/romanew-crypto

romanew-crypto

0xdd3beadff0dee12b8f8d572ae55a6b8bc1fc9f3a
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$15
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$12
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+4.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
78%
108W / 30L · 140 open
Win Return (30d)
73%
203W / 74L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
278
across 106 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$0.32
avg win $2 · loss $3
Profit Factor
1.30
$63 won / $49 lost
Reward / Risk
0.63
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$34
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $5,815 · all-time $210,430

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 76.0% 865W/273L 606 $4,948
💵 Economy 90.3% 28W/3L 48 $299
₿ Crypto 88.9% 24W/3L 38 $237
🏛 Politics 55.6% 5W/4L 32 $148
🎬 Culture 40.0% 2W/3L 16 $88
🤖 Tech 60.0% 3W/2L 14 $75
🌤 Weather 1 $14
🔬 Science 1 $14
⚽ Sports 1 $0

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

113 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Botond Fülöp be the next President of Hungary? Yes 29 0.290 $8.46 $4.96 +141.7%
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? Yes 117 0.060 $7.00 $0.00 +0.0%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in August? Yes 41 0.165 $6.79 $-0.21 -2.9%
Chuck Edwards out as US Rep before December 31, 2026? No 18 0.340 $5.95 $2.45 +70.0%
Will Michael be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? Yes 111 0.048 $5.29 $-1.71 -24.4%
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes 40 0.130 $5.20 $-1.80 -25.7%
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes 61 0.076 $4.66 $-1.83 -28.2%
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? Yes 88 0.051 $4.54 $-2.47 -35.2%
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? Yes 58 0.075 $4.35 $-0.15 -3.3%
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $APBC? Yes 78 0.054 $4.20 $-2.80 -40.0%
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? Yes 42 0.100 $4.17 $0.67 +19.0%
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $7B in 2026? Yes 24 0.169 $4.05 $-0.91 -18.4%
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? Yes 70 0.055 $3.85 $0.35 +10.0%
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 69 0.056 $3.81 $0.31 +8.8%
Will SoundHound AI announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes 54 0.070 $3.74 $-3.26 -46.5%
Will Shakira's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by August 31? No 6 0.610 $3.69 $0.20 +5.6%
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $25B by December 31? Yes 13 0.270 $3.63 $0.13 +3.8%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 in August? No 69 0.052 $3.57 $0.07 +2.0%
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? Yes 56 0.064 $3.56 $0.06 +1.6%
Will Stranger Things be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? Yes 43 0.076 $3.27 $0.21 +7.0%
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes 67 0.049 $3.26 $-0.50 -13.3%
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? Yes 7 0.455 $3.25 $-0.25 -7.1%
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes 12 0.270 $3.24 $-0.24 -6.9%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes 21 0.145 $3.04 $0.08 +2.8%
Will ThreadGuy appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? Yes 22 0.141 $3.04 $0.54 +21.5%