| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
No |
486 |
0.625 |
$304.04 |
$27.04 |
+9.8% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
373 |
0.805 |
$300.09 |
$27.40 |
+10.0% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
390 |
0.710 |
$276.65 |
$14.65 |
+5.6% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
633 |
0.365 |
$230.97 |
$-59.03 |
-20.4% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
569 |
0.364 |
$207.53 |
$-51.86 |
-20.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
1,050 |
0.165 |
$173.25 |
$26.25 |
+17.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Yes |
544 |
0.295 |
$160.50 |
$-9.50 |
-5.6% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? |
No |
261 |
0.520 |
$135.55 |
$-4.45 |
-3.2% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
Yes |
215 |
0.605 |
$130.17 |
$-2.83 |
-2.1% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
143 |
0.900 |
$128.59 |
$8.58 |
+7.2% |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? |
No |
140 |
0.740 |
$103.60 |
$-10.60 |
-9.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
Yes |
1,606 |
0.028 |
$44.17 |
$-20.56 |
-31.8% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? |
No |
44 |
0.988 |
$43.41 |
$3.41 |
+8.5% |
| Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
51 |
0.675 |
$34.20 |
$4.15 |
+13.8% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
No |
40 |
0.725 |
$29.26 |
$0.54 |
+1.9% |