| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
No |
486 |
0.630 |
$306.47 |
$29.47 |
+10.6% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
373 |
0.795 |
$296.36 |
$23.68 |
+8.7% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
390 |
0.710 |
$276.65 |
$14.65 |
+5.6% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
Yes |
365 |
0.695 |
$253.74 |
$21.74 |
+9.4% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
633 |
0.400 |
$253.12 |
$-36.88 |
-12.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
1,050 |
0.175 |
$183.75 |
$36.75 |
+25.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Yes |
544 |
0.305 |
$165.94 |
$-4.06 |
-2.4% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? |
No |
261 |
0.515 |
$134.24 |
$-5.76 |
-4.1% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
143 |
0.905 |
$129.30 |
$9.30 |
+7.7% |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? |
No |
140 |
0.740 |
$103.60 |
$-10.60 |
-9.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
123 |
0.580 |
$71.30 |
$1.29 |
+1.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
Yes |
1,606 |
0.029 |
$45.77 |
$-18.96 |
-29.3% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? |
No |
44 |
0.988 |
$43.41 |
$3.41 |
+8.5% |
| Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
51 |
0.600 |
$30.40 |
$0.35 |
+1.2% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
No |
40 |
0.745 |
$30.07 |
$1.35 |
+4.7% |