PnL (30d)

+$464

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$241

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

90%

28,380W / 3,028L · 12,275 open

Win Return (30d)

80%

34,058W / 8,647L · 978 open

Trades (30d)

43,683

across 13,020 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$0.05

avg win $5 · loss $41

Profit Factor

1.01

$38,860 won / $38,401 lost

Reward / Risk

0.11

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1,539

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	90.4% 28,380W/3,028L	13020	$872,836
🌤 Weather	95.3% 2,780W/138L	1380	$55,972
🏛 Politics	83.7% 251W/49L	391	$23,753
⚽ Sports	75.5% 74W/24L	372	$30,567
🎬 Culture	90.0% 388W/43L	275	$16,852
💵 Economy	88.0% 95W/13L	188	$21,440
🤖 Tech	58.7% 44W/31L	85	$6,691
₿ Crypto	72.7% 16W/6L	40	$758
🔬 Science	—	30	$459

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?	Yes	32	0.335	$10.74	$4.33	+67.5%
Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?	Yes	9	0.695	$6.02	$5.77	+2262.7%
Will Artyom Zdunov win the 2026 Mordovia gubernatorial elections?	Yes	4	0.986	$3.96	$3.84	+3152.1%
Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?	Yes	4	0.996	$3.70	$3.58	+2786.9%
Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	4	0.781	$3.45	$3.17	+1150.4%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	4	0.886	$3.12	$2.85	+1052.4%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	3	0.885	$3.09	$2.98	+2731.9%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	4	0.835	$3.00	$2.88	+2321.5%
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	40	0.075	$3.00	$1.79	+147.5%
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	40	0.069	$2.74	$1.53	+126.0%
Will Patricia Mair win the next Salzgitter mayoral election?	Yes	183	0.015	$2.74	$-5.95	-68.5%
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?	Yes	4	0.670	$2.68	$2.24	+503.0%
Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid?	Yes	2	0.961	$2.37	$2.25	+1820.9%
Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	6	0.415	$2.37	$1.85	+356.5%
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	3	0.730	$2.21	$1.98	+848.9%
Will the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat?	Yes	3	0.655	$2.11	$1.71	+424.0%
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	2	0.855	$2.03	$1.96	+2977.9%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on August 6?	Yes	4	0.565	$2.00	$1.68	+521.4%
Will Marcye Scott win the 2026 GA-13 special election?	Yes	2	0.860	$1.98	$1.87	+1704.9%
Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?	Yes	304	0.006	$1.98	$-7.53	-79.2%
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 20,000-30,000?	Yes	3	0.705	$1.96	$1.56	+393.5%
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?	Yes	3	0.735	$1.94	$1.65	+561.5%
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	Yes	4	0.465	$1.93	$1.58	+458.0%
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	3	0.590	$1.91	$1.50	+372.0%
Will Jim Stagnitta win the 2026 PLL Coach of the Year?	Yes	5	0.375	$1.88	$1.75	+1362.4%