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Trader

0xcf279d521e62d60848dbfba1791617dc9a99f35f
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$39
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-14.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
33%
10W / 20L · 1 open
Win Return (30d)
32%
10W / 21L
Trades (30d)
31
across 15 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$2.78
avg win $30 · loss $16
Profit Factor
0.76
$120 won / $159 lost
Reward / Risk
1.89
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$40
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $10,618 · all-time $109,639

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 57.5% 899W/665L 838 $24,753
⚽ Sports 65.0% 191W/103L 121 $4,987
🏛 Politics 30.0% 6W/14L 23 $483
🌤 Weather 41.4% 12W/17L 21 $330
💵 Economy 33.3% 2W/4L 8 $205
🎬 Culture 71.4% 5W/2L 5 $227
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/3L 4 $70
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/2L 1 $37

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

70 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 47 0.735 $34.30 $-0.70 -2.0%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 5? Yes 31 1.000 $30.59 $15.60 +104.0%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 5? Yes 27 1.000 $27.26 $12.26 +81.7%
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? Yes 33 0.630 $21.00 $9.00 +75.0%
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? No 23 0.895 $20.66 $8.65 +72.1%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes 83 0.245 $20.42 $5.42 +36.1%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31? Yes 28 0.730 $20.12 $0.12 +0.6%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? Yes 24 0.830 $19.92 $7.92 +66.0%
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No 28 0.715 $19.86 $-0.14 -0.7%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? Yes 24 0.798 $19.29 $-0.71 -3.6%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes 22 0.830 $18.44 $6.44 +53.7%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? Yes 26 0.705 $18.39 $6.39 +53.3%
FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs. Bayer Leverkusen: O/U 0.5 Over 35 0.490 $17.29 $-0.71 -3.9%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? Yes 20 0.815 $16.57 $4.57 +38.1%
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? No 18 0.905 $16.45 $4.45 +37.1%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6? Yes 28 0.580 $16.41 $1.41 +9.4%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 6? Yes 31 0.505 $15.78 $0.78 +5.2%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 6? Yes 33 0.475 $15.49 $0.49 +3.3%
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? Yes 21 0.735 $15.47 $3.47 +28.9%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 6? Yes 27 0.560 $15.00 $0.00 +0.0%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No 17 0.845 $14.27 $2.28 +19.0%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? Yes 28 0.510 $14.23 $2.23 +18.6%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 6? Yes 32 0.445 $14.20 $-0.80 -5.3%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 6? Yes 32 0.445 $14.20 $-0.80 -5.3%
Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election? Yes 22 0.645 $14.19 $2.19 +18.2%