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Trader

0xcf279d521e62d60848dbfba1791617dc9a99f35f
PnL (30d)
+$33
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$18
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
57%
896W / 665L · 173 open
Win Return (30d)
57%
984W / 732L · 18 open
Trades (30d)
1,734
across 838 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$0.04
avg win $11 · loss $12
Profit Factor
1.01
$4,316 won / $4,282 lost
Reward / Risk
0.93
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$254
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $9,855 · all-time $108,875

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 57.4% 896W/665L 838 $24,753
⚽ Sports 65.0% 191W/103L 121 $4,987
🏛 Politics 30.0% 6W/14L 23 $483
🌤 Weather 41.4% 12W/17L 21 $330
💵 Economy 33.3% 2W/4L 8 $205
🎬 Culture 71.4% 5W/2L 5 $227
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/3L 4 $70
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/2L 1 $37

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

75 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 5? Yes 31 1.000 $30.59 $15.60 +104.0%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 5? Yes 31 1.000 $30.59 $15.60 +104.0%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 5? Yes 31 1.000 $30.59 $15.60 +104.0%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 5? Yes 27 1.000 $27.26 $12.26 +81.7%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 5? Yes 27 1.000 $26.78 $11.77 +78.5%
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? Yes 33 0.630 $21.00 $9.00 +75.0%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes 83 0.250 $20.83 $5.83 +38.9%
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? No 23 0.885 $20.43 $8.42 +70.2%
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No 28 0.715 $19.86 $-0.14 -0.7%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? Yes 24 0.800 $19.32 $-0.68 -3.4%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? Yes 24 0.805 $19.32 $7.32 +61.0%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31? Yes 28 0.700 $19.30 $-0.70 -3.5%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? Yes 26 0.695 $18.13 $6.13 +51.1%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes 22 0.785 $17.44 $5.44 +45.4%
FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs. Bayer Leverkusen: O/U 0.5 Over 35 0.485 $17.12 $-0.88 -4.9%
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? No 18 0.900 $16.36 $4.36 +36.4%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? Yes 20 0.785 $15.97 $3.97 +33.1%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 6? Yes 31 0.495 $15.47 $0.47 +3.1%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 6? Yes 27 0.565 $15.13 $0.13 +0.9%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? Yes 28 0.540 $15.07 $3.07 +25.6%
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? Yes 21 0.705 $14.84 $2.84 +23.7%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 6? Yes 33 0.455 $14.84 $-0.16 -1.1%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No 17 0.865 $14.61 $2.62 +21.8%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 6? Yes 32 0.455 $14.52 $-0.48 -3.2%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? Yes 30 0.484 $14.50 $2.50 +20.8%