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Trader

0xcf279d521e62d60848dbfba1791617dc9a99f35f
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$26
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-21.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
43%
6W / 8L · 4 open
Win Return (30d)
50%
9W / 9L
Trades (30d)
18
across 10 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$3.70
avg win $2 · loss $8
Profit Factor
0.18
$6 won / $32 lost
Reward / Risk
0.24
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$19
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $10,618 · all-time $109,639

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 56.9% 914W/693L 861 $25,533
⚽ Sports 62.2% 204W/124L 134 $5,587
🌤 Weather 40.6% 13W/19L 25 $390
🏛 Politics 30.0% 6W/14L 23 $483
💵 Economy 33.3% 2W/4L 8 $205
🎬 Culture 71.4% 5W/2L 5 $227
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/3L 4 $70
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/2L 1 $37

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

65 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
LoL: GIANTX iTero vs LUA Gaming (BO3) - LES Regular Season GIANTX iTero 47 0.735 $34.77 $-0.24 -0.7%
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? Yes 33 0.635 $21.16 $9.17 +76.4%
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? No 23 0.895 $20.66 $8.65 +72.1%
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No 28 0.740 $20.56 $0.56 +2.8%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes 83 0.245 $20.42 $5.42 +36.1%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31? Yes 28 0.735 $20.26 $0.26 +1.3%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? Yes 24 0.797 $19.26 $-0.74 -3.7%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? Yes 24 0.795 $19.08 $7.08 +59.0%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes 22 0.845 $18.78 $6.78 +56.5%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? Yes 26 0.665 $17.35 $5.35 +44.6%
FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs. Bayer Leverkusen: O/U 0.5 Over 35 0.490 $17.29 $-0.71 -3.9%
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? No 18 0.915 $16.63 $4.64 +38.6%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? Yes 20 0.815 $16.57 $4.57 +38.1%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6? Yes 28 0.580 $16.41 $1.41 +9.4%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 6? Yes 33 0.495 $16.14 $1.14 +7.6%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 6? Yes 31 0.515 $16.09 $1.09 +7.3%
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? Yes 21 0.725 $15.26 $3.26 +27.2%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 6? Yes 33 0.460 $15.00 $0.00 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 6? Yes 32 0.470 $15.00 $0.00 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 6? Yes 27 0.555 $14.87 $-0.13 -0.9%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No 17 0.845 $14.27 $2.28 +19.0%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? Yes 28 0.510 $14.23 $2.23 +18.6%
Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election? Yes 22 0.647 $14.22 $2.22 +18.5%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 6? Yes 32 0.440 $14.04 $-0.96 -6.4%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 27 0.525 $14.00 $2.00 +16.7%