PnL (30d)

−$76

Tech · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$7

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-4.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

2%

4W / 262L · 36 open

Win Return (30d)

4%

12W / 278L · 12 open

Trades (30d)

302

across 60 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$1.54

avg win $0 · loss $2

Profit Factor

0.01

$0 won / $76 lost

Reward / Risk

0.15

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$20

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	2.0% 144W/6,920L	1834	$127,881
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/179L	89	$6,108
⚽ Sports	1.6% 2W/126L	85	$2,905
💵 Economy	4.4% 2W/43L	37	$1,579
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/76L	36	$2,013
₿ Crypto	9.5% 2W/19L	17	$921
🤖 Tech	0.0% 0W/105L	15	$2,601
🔬 Science	—	2	$157
🌤 Weather	—	1	$4

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

31 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Jwei Penta in LPL Split 3 2026?	Yes	105	0.449	$47.09	$42.44	+912.8%
Will Parukia Penta in LPL Split 3 2026?	Yes	100	0.451	$45.10	$41.65	+1207.3%
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2028?	No	50	0.770	$38.50	$-7.00	-15.4%
Will huhi Penta in LCS Split 3 2026?	Yes	75	0.500	$37.53	$35.28	+1568.0%
Will Risk It All – Bruno Mars be the top song in the US for 2026?	Yes	82	0.033	$2.71	$-0.99	-26.7%
Will Lospa Penta in LEC Summer Split 2026?	Yes	75	0.036	$2.70	$0.45	+20.0%
Will Namgung get a pentakill in LCK 2026 Rounds 3-4?	Yes	75	0.034	$2.51	$0.26	+11.7%
Will Crisp Penta in LPL Split 3 2026?	Yes	75	0.026	$1.95	$-0.60	-23.5%
Will Lady Gaga have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	380	0.005	$1.90	$-8.48	-81.7%
Will Freddy Deeb cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?	Yes	140	0.009	$1.33	$-1.47	-52.5%
Will ON Penta in LPL Split 3 2026?	Yes	75	0.015	$1.16	$-1.61	-58.1%
Will Jamie Hill be the MI-02 Democratic nominee?	Yes	50	0.018	$0.93	$-2.27	-71.1%
Will Career get a pentakill in LCK 2026 Rounds 3-4?	Yes	150	0.005	$0.82	$-2.77	-77.1%
Will United Russia win the next Novgorod Oblast Parliament elections?	No	75	0.009	$0.71	$-2.51	-77.9%
Will United Russia win the next Adygea Parliament elections?	No	98	0.007	$0.69	$-2.26	-76.7%
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $270 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	50	0.013	$0.62	$-1.52	-70.9%
Will HANJIN BRION Make the LCK 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	75	0.006	$0.45	$-2.55	-85.0%
Will Life get a pentakill in LCK 2026 Rounds 3-4?	Yes	75	0.005	$0.38	$-2.17	-85.3%
Will Zhuo Penta in LPL Split 3 2026?	Yes	65	0.005	$0.36	$-2.37	-86.9%
Will Kael Penta in LPL Split 3 2026?	Yes	75	0.004	$0.30	$-3.60	-92.3%
Will Epic Games have the highest private market valuation on August 31?	Yes	75	0.004	$0.26	$-1.99	-88.3%
Will Tarsier Pharma's market cap be less than $250M at market close on IPO day?	Yes	35	0.007	$0.26	$-0.51	-65.9%
Will Trump say "Middle East" in August?	No	66	0.004	$0.23	$-2.40	-91.2%
Will Communists of Russia win the next Lipetsk Oblast Parliament elections?	Yes	75	0.003	$0.23	$-1.80	-88.9%
Will CopperTech Metals' market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	349	0.001	$0.17	$-6.36	-97.3%