PnL (30d)

−$306

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$210

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-3.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

3%

24W / 910L · 516 open

Win Return (30d)

2%

33W / 1,398L · 19 open

Trades (30d)

1,450

across 212 markets · ~7 per market

EV / position

−$2.76

avg win $0 · loss $3

Profit Factor

0.00

$1 won / $308 lost

Reward / Risk

0.09

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$59

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	2.0% 144W/6,922L	1834	$127,881
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/179L	89	$6,108
⚽ Sports	1.6% 2W/126L	85	$2,905
💵 Economy	4.4% 2W/43L	37	$1,579
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/76L	36	$2,013
₿ Crypto	9.5% 2W/19L	17	$921
🤖 Tech	0.0% 0W/105L	15	$2,601
🔬 Science	—	2	$157
🌤 Weather	—	1	$4

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

32 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Jwei Penta in LPL Split 3 2026?	Yes	105	0.495	$51.98	$47.33	+1017.8%
Will Parukia Penta in LPL Split 3 2026?	Yes	100	0.488	$48.80	$45.35	+1314.5%
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2028?	No	50	0.765	$38.25	$-7.25	-15.9%
Will huhi Penta in LCS Split 3 2026?	Yes	75	0.500	$37.53	$35.28	+1568.0%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?	No	22	0.925	$20.45	$-0.11	-0.5%
Will Risk It All – Bruno Mars be the top song in the US for 2026?	Yes	82	0.033	$2.71	$-0.99	-26.7%
Will Lospa Penta in LEC Summer Split 2026?	Yes	75	0.036	$2.70	$0.45	+20.0%
Will Lady Gaga have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	380	0.007	$2.66	$-7.72	-74.4%
Will Namgung get a pentakill in LCK 2026 Rounds 3-4?	Yes	75	0.033	$2.48	$0.23	+10.0%
Will Crisp Penta in LPL Split 3 2026?	Yes	75	0.025	$1.91	$-0.65	-25.3%
Will ON Penta in LPL Split 3 2026?	Yes	75	0.015	$1.16	$-1.61	-58.1%
Will Freddy Deeb cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?	Yes	140	0.008	$1.12	$-1.68	-60.0%
Will Jamie Hill be the MI-02 Democratic nominee?	Yes	50	0.018	$0.88	$-2.33	-72.7%
Will Career get a pentakill in LCK 2026 Rounds 3-4?	Yes	150	0.005	$0.82	$-2.77	-77.1%
Will United Russia win the next Novgorod Oblast Parliament elections?	No	75	0.009	$0.71	$-2.51	-77.9%
Will United Russia win the next Adygea Parliament elections?	No	98	0.007	$0.69	$-2.26	-76.7%
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $270 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	50	0.013	$0.62	$-1.52	-70.9%
Will HANJIN BRION Make the LCK 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	75	0.006	$0.45	$-2.55	-85.0%
Will Life get a pentakill in LCK 2026 Rounds 3-4?	Yes	75	0.005	$0.41	$-2.14	-83.8%
Will Zhuo Penta in LPL Split 3 2026?	Yes	65	0.005	$0.36	$-2.37	-86.9%
Will Kael Penta in LPL Split 3 2026?	Yes	75	0.004	$0.30	$-3.60	-92.3%
Will Epic Games have the highest private market valuation on August 31?	Yes	75	0.004	$0.26	$-1.99	-88.3%
Will Tarsier Pharma's market cap be less than $250M at market close on IPO day?	Yes	35	0.007	$0.26	$-0.51	-65.9%
Will Trump say "Middle East" in August?	No	66	0.004	$0.23	$-2.40	-91.2%
Will Communists of Russia win the next Lipetsk Oblast Parliament elections?	Yes	75	0.003	$0.19	$-1.84	-90.7%