PnL (30d)

−$2,952

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$1,172

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-4.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

2%

144W / 6,911L · 3,029 open

Win Return (30d)

3%

253W / 9,583L · 248 open

Trades (30d)

10,084

across 1,833 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

−$2.53

avg win $0 · loss $3

Profit Factor

0.00

$13 won / $2,965 lost

Reward / Risk

0.15

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$475

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	2.0% 144W/6,911L	1833	$127,791
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/177L	89	$6,053
⚽ Sports	1.6% 2W/126L	87	$3,522
💵 Economy	3.1% 2W/62L	49	$2,432
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/77L	37	$1,963
₿ Crypto	5.0% 2W/38L	27	$1,491
🤖 Tech	0.0% 0W/101L	15	$2,601
🔬 Science	—	2	$157
🌤 Weather	—	1	$4

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

31 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Jwei Penta in LPL Split 3 2026?	Yes	105	0.451	$47.30	$42.65	+917.3%
Will Parukia Penta in LPL Split 3 2026?	Yes	100	0.451	$45.10	$41.65	+1207.3%
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2028?	No	50	0.765	$38.25	$-7.25	-15.9%
Will huhi Penta in LCS Split 3 2026?	Yes	75	0.502	$37.68	$35.43	+1574.7%
Will Risk It All – Bruno Mars be the top song in the US for 2026?	Yes	82	0.033	$2.71	$-0.99	-26.7%
Will Lospa Penta in LEC Summer Split 2026?	Yes	75	0.036	$2.70	$0.45	+20.0%
Will Namgung get a pentakill in LCK 2026 Rounds 3-4?	Yes	75	0.033	$2.44	$0.19	+8.3%
Will Crisp Penta in LPL Split 3 2026?	Yes	75	0.026	$1.95	$-0.60	-23.5%
Will Lady Gaga have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	380	0.004	$1.71	$-8.67	-83.5%
Will United Russia win the next Adygea Parliament elections?	No	98	0.015	$1.52	$-1.42	-48.3%
Will Freddy Deeb cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?	Yes	140	0.009	$1.33	$-1.47	-52.5%
Will ON Penta in LPL Split 3 2026?	Yes	75	0.015	$1.16	$-1.61	-58.1%
Will Jamie Hill be the MI-02 Democratic nominee?	Yes	50	0.018	$0.93	$-2.27	-71.1%
Will Max Purcell Win ATP Montreal	Yes	50	0.018	$0.90	$0.85	+1700.0%
Will Career get a pentakill in LCK 2026 Rounds 3-4?	Yes	150	0.005	$0.82	$-2.77	-77.1%
Will United Russia win the next Novgorod Oblast Parliament elections?	No	75	0.009	$0.71	$-2.51	-77.9%
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $270 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	50	0.013	$0.65	$-1.50	-69.8%
Will HANJIN BRION Make the LCK 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	75	0.006	$0.45	$-2.55	-85.0%
Will Life get a pentakill in LCK 2026 Rounds 3-4?	Yes	75	0.005	$0.41	$-2.14	-83.8%
Will Zhuo Penta in LPL Split 3 2026?	Yes	65	0.005	$0.36	$-2.37	-86.9%
Will Kael Penta in LPL Split 3 2026?	Yes	75	0.004	$0.30	$-3.60	-92.3%
Will Epic Games have the highest private market valuation on August 31?	Yes	75	0.004	$0.26	$-1.99	-88.3%
Will Tarsier Pharma's market cap be less than $250M at market close on IPO day?	Yes	35	0.007	$0.26	$-0.51	-65.9%
Will Trump say "Middle East" in August?	No	66	0.004	$0.23	$-2.40	-91.2%
Will Communists of Russia win the next Lipetsk Oblast Parliament elections?	Yes	75	0.003	$0.23	$-1.80	-88.9%