PnL (30d)

−$155

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$23

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-4.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

11%

44W / 341L · 125 open

Win Return (30d)

10%

48W / 433L · 29 open

Trades (30d)

510

across 139 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$1.42

avg win $0 · loss $2

Profit Factor

0.03

$4 won / $159 lost

Reward / Risk

0.20

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$22

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	2.2% 155W/6,960L	1854	$129,522
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/179L	93	$6,196
⚽ Sports	1.6% 2W/127L	88	$3,123
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/76L	39	$2,180
💵 Economy	20.4% 11W/43L	38	$1,581
₿ Crypto	9.5% 2W/19L	18	$923
🤖 Tech	0.0% 0W/105L	15	$2,601
🔬 Science	—	2	$157
🌤 Weather	—	1	$4

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

30 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Jwei Penta in LPL Split 3 2026?	Yes	105	0.493	$51.82	$47.17	+1014.4%
Will Parukia Penta in LPL Split 3 2026?	Yes	100	0.493	$49.35	$45.90	+1330.5%
Will huhi Penta in LCS Split 3 2026?	Yes	75	0.501	$37.60	$35.35	+1571.3%
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2028?	No	50	0.750	$37.50	$-8.00	-17.6%
Will Lospa Penta in LEC Summer Split 2026?	Yes	75	0.036	$2.70	$0.45	+20.0%
Will Risk It All – Bruno Mars be the top song in the US for 2026?	Yes	82	0.032	$2.63	$-1.07	-28.9%
Will Namgung get a pentakill in LCK 2026 Rounds 3-4?	Yes	75	0.033	$2.44	$0.19	+8.3%
Will Crisp Penta in LPL Split 3 2026?	Yes	75	0.025	$1.91	$-0.65	-25.3%
Will ON Penta in LPL Split 3 2026?	Yes	75	0.015	$1.16	$-1.61	-58.1%
Will Lady Gaga have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	380	0.003	$1.14	$-9.24	-89.0%
Will Freddy Deeb cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?	Yes	140	0.008	$1.12	$-1.68	-60.0%
Will United Russia win the next Adygea Parliament elections?	No	98	0.009	$0.83	$-2.11	-71.7%
Will Career get a pentakill in LCK 2026 Rounds 3-4?	Yes	150	0.005	$0.82	$-2.77	-77.1%
Will Jamie Hill be the MI-02 Democratic nominee?	Yes	50	0.015	$0.72	$-2.48	-77.3%
Will United Russia win the next Novgorod Oblast Parliament elections?	No	75	0.009	$0.71	$-2.51	-77.9%
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $270 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	50	0.013	$0.62	$-1.52	-70.9%
Will HANJIN BRION Make the LCK 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	75	0.006	$0.45	$-2.55	-85.0%
Will Life get a pentakill in LCK 2026 Rounds 3-4?	Yes	75	0.005	$0.41	$-2.14	-83.8%
Will Zhuo Penta in LPL Split 3 2026?	Yes	65	0.005	$0.36	$-2.37	-86.9%
Will Kael Penta in LPL Split 3 2026?	Yes	75	0.004	$0.30	$-3.60	-92.3%
Will Epic Games have the highest private market valuation on August 31?	Yes	75	0.004	$0.26	$-1.99	-88.3%
Will Tarsier Pharma's market cap be less than $250M at market close on IPO day?	Yes	35	0.007	$0.26	$-0.51	-65.9%
Will Trump say "Middle East" in August?	No	66	0.004	$0.23	$-2.40	-91.2%
Will Communists of Russia win the next Lipetsk Oblast Parliament elections?	Yes	75	0.003	$0.19	$-1.84	-90.7%
Will CopperTech Metals' market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	349	0.001	$0.17	$-6.36	-97.3%