PnL (30d)

−$1

Science · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

67%

4W / 2L · 30 open

Win Return (30d)

33%

12W / 24L

Trades (30d)

36

across 5 markets · ~7 per market

EV / position

−$0.29

avg win $0 · loss $1

Profit Factor

0.36

$0 won / $1 lost

Reward / Risk

0.18

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	2.2% 153W/6,929L	1835	$127,966
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/179L	90	$6,192
⚽ Sports	1.6% 2W/126L	85	$2,905
💵 Economy	20.4% 11W/43L	37	$1,579
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/76L	37	$2,097
₿ Crypto	9.5% 2W/19L	17	$921
🤖 Tech	0.0% 0W/105L	15	$2,601
🔬 Science	—	2	$157
🌤 Weather	—	1	$4

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

31 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Jwei Penta in LPL Split 3 2026?	Yes	105	0.489	$51.40	$46.75	+1005.3%
Will Parukia Penta in LPL Split 3 2026?	Yes	100	0.494	$49.40	$45.95	+1331.9%
Will huhi Penta in LCS Split 3 2026?	Yes	75	0.503	$37.73	$35.48	+1576.7%
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2028?	No	50	0.750	$37.50	$-8.00	-17.6%
Will Lospa Penta in LEC Summer Split 2026?	Yes	75	0.036	$2.70	$0.45	+20.0%
Will Risk It All – Bruno Mars be the top song in the US for 2026?	Yes	82	0.031	$2.55	$-1.15	-31.1%
Will Namgung get a pentakill in LCK 2026 Rounds 3-4?	Yes	75	0.034	$2.51	$0.26	+11.7%
Will Crisp Penta in LPL Split 3 2026?	Yes	75	0.025	$1.91	$-0.65	-25.3%
Will Lady Gaga have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	380	0.005	$1.90	$-8.48	-81.7%
Will United Russia win the next Adygea Parliament elections?	No	98	0.013	$1.23	$-1.72	-58.3%
Will ON Penta in LPL Split 3 2026?	Yes	75	0.015	$1.16	$-1.61	-58.1%
Will Freddy Deeb cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?	Yes	140	0.008	$1.12	$-1.68	-60.0%
Will Jamie Hill be the MI-02 Democratic nominee?	Yes	50	0.017	$0.85	$-2.35	-73.4%
Will Career get a pentakill in LCK 2026 Rounds 3-4?	Yes	150	0.005	$0.82	$-2.77	-77.1%
Will United Russia win the next Novgorod Oblast Parliament elections?	No	75	0.009	$0.71	$-2.51	-77.9%
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $270 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	50	0.013	$0.62	$-1.52	-70.9%
Will HANJIN BRION Make the LCK 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	75	0.006	$0.45	$-2.55	-85.0%
Will Life get a pentakill in LCK 2026 Rounds 3-4?	Yes	75	0.005	$0.41	$-2.14	-83.8%
Will Zhuo Penta in LPL Split 3 2026?	Yes	65	0.005	$0.36	$-2.37	-86.9%
Will Kael Penta in LPL Split 3 2026?	Yes	75	0.004	$0.30	$-3.60	-92.3%
Will Epic Games have the highest private market valuation on August 31?	Yes	75	0.004	$0.26	$-1.99	-88.3%
Will Tarsier Pharma's market cap be less than $250M at market close on IPO day?	Yes	35	0.007	$0.26	$-0.51	-65.9%
Will Trump say "Middle East" in August?	No	66	0.004	$0.23	$-2.40	-91.2%
Will Communists of Russia win the next Lipetsk Oblast Parliament elections?	Yes	75	0.003	$0.19	$-1.84	-90.7%
Will CopperTech Metals' market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	349	0.001	$0.17	$-6.36	-97.3%