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Trader leaderboard/romanew-cryp

romanew-cryp

0xbd9109baf490cfc9841cec9bb09cecf9aec56262
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$1
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$6
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
84%
100W / 19L · 139 open
Win Return (30d)
78%
201W / 57L
Trades (30d)
258
across 51 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$0.06
avg win $1 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.90
$13 won / $15 lost
Reward / Risk
0.32
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,591 · all-time $238,131

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 78.9% 1,098W/293L 274 $5,133
💵 Economy 72.1% 31W/12L 17 $232
🏛 Politics 100.0% 15W/0L 13 $156
₿ Crypto 67.6% 25W/12L 12 $200
🤖 Tech 100.0% 37W/0L 5 $126
🎬 Culture 100.0% 23W/0L 5 $126
🔬 Science 1 $2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

27 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? Yes 56 0.106 $5.91 $-1.09 -15.5%
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? No 21 0.153 $3.18 $0.05 +1.7%
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 August 3-9? Yes 18 0.170 $3.13 $-0.37 -10.5%
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026? Yes 36 0.086 $3.11 $-3.88 -55.5%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? Yes 31 0.095 $2.98 $-0.47 -13.6%
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes 22 0.135 $2.95 $-0.55 -15.6%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 30 0.095 $2.83 $-0.15 -5.0%
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No 25 0.111 $2.74 $-0.76 -21.8%
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? Yes 47 0.052 $2.42 $-4.58 -65.4%
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? Yes 32 0.076 $2.42 $-1.08 -30.9%
Yoon out of custody before 2027? Yes 25 0.096 $2.38 $-1.12 -31.9%
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? Yes 25 0.095 $2.38 $-1.12 -32.1%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? No 22 0.105 $2.35 $-1.23 -34.4%
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 22 0.105 $2.30 $-1.20 -34.4%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $140 in August? Yes 8 0.260 $2.17 $-1.33 -38.1%
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Yes 25 0.085 $2.12 $-1.38 -39.3%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? No 25 0.086 $2.11 $-1.39 -39.8%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $145 in August? Yes 7 0.170 $1.27 $-2.23 -63.8%
Squid FDV above $100M one day after launch No 9 0.130 $1.17 $-2.33 -66.7%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? Yes 18 0.060 $1.05 $-2.45 -70.0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No 35 0.029 $1.00 $-2.50 -71.5%
Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31? Yes 14 0.067 $0.94 $-0.31 -24.6%
Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? Yes 23 0.035 $0.83 $-2.67 -76.4%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? Yes 18 0.038 $0.67 $-2.83 -80.7%
Squid FDV above $150M one day after launch Yes 35 0.015 $0.53 $-2.98 -85.0%