PnL (30d)

+$8

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$3

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

79%

1,098W / 289L · 408 open

Win Return (30d)

79%

1,423W / 371L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

1,795

across 269 markets · ~7 per market

EV / position

+$0.05

avg win $2 · loss $3

Profit Factor

1.05

$179 won / $171 lost

Reward / Risk

0.50

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$26

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	79.2% 1,098W/289L	269	$5,035
💵 Economy	72.7% 32W/12L	17	$240
₿ Crypto	68.4% 26W/12L	12	$208
🏛 Politics	100.0% 15W/0L	12	$102
🤖 Tech	100.0% 43W/0L	5	$134
🎬 Culture	100.0% 23W/0L	5	$126
🔬 Science	—	1	$2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

23 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	Yes	56	0.115	$6.39	$-0.61	-8.8%
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?	Yes	25	0.130	$3.25	$-0.25	-7.1%
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026?	Yes	36	0.086	$3.10	$-3.90	-55.7%
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	22	0.130	$2.84	$-0.66	-18.8%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	22	0.125	$2.79	$-0.78	-21.9%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?	Yes	8	0.320	$2.67	$-0.83	-23.8%
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	25	0.107	$2.65	$-0.85	-24.3%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	30	0.085	$2.53	$-0.45	-15.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	22	0.115	$2.52	$-0.98	-28.1%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?	No	25	0.098	$2.40	$-1.10	-31.3%
Yoon out of custody before 2027?	Yes	25	0.097	$2.40	$-1.10	-31.6%
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	Yes	47	0.051	$2.37	$-4.63	-66.1%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $145 in August?	Yes	7	0.300	$2.23	$-1.27	-36.2%
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	25	0.085	$2.12	$-1.38	-39.3%
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 August 3-9?	Yes	18	0.110	$2.03	$-1.47	-42.1%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	35	0.036	$1.28	$-2.22	-63.5%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?	Yes	18	0.055	$0.96	$-2.54	-72.5%
Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?	Yes	14	0.067	$0.94	$-0.31	-24.6%
Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	Yes	23	0.036	$0.84	$-2.66	-76.0%
Squid FDV above $150M one day after launch	Yes	35	0.022	$0.79	$-2.71	-77.5%
Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7?	Yes	32	0.021	$0.65	$-2.85	-81.4%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?	Yes	18	0.035	$0.60	$-2.90	-82.8%
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?	No	13	0.004	$0.06	$-1.98	-97.2%