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Trader leaderboard/romanew-cryp

romanew-cryp

0xbd9109baf490cfc9841cec9bb09cecf9aec56262
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$1
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
83%
43W / 9L · 22 open
Win Return (30d)
85%
63W / 11L
Trades (30d)
74
across 16 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$0.15
avg win $1 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.79
$6 won / $7 lost
Reward / Risk
0.34
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,403 · all-time $237,943

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 79.2% 1,098W/289L 274 $5,133
💵 Economy 72.1% 31W/12L 17 $232
🏛 Politics 100.0% 14W/0L 13 $156
₿ Crypto 67.6% 25W/12L 12 $200
🤖 Tech 100.0% 37W/0L 5 $126
🎬 Culture 100.0% 23W/0L 5 $126
🔬 Science 1 $2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

25 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? Yes 56 0.106 $5.91 $-1.09 -15.5%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? No 22 0.145 $3.24 $-0.34 -9.4%
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? Yes 25 0.125 $3.12 $-0.38 -10.7%
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026? Yes 36 0.086 $3.10 $-3.90 -55.7%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026? No 11 0.271 $3.04 $-0.47 -13.3%
Squid FDV above $100M one day after launch No 9 0.335 $3.00 $-0.49 -14.1%
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes 22 0.130 $2.84 $-0.66 -18.8%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 30 0.095 $2.83 $-0.15 -5.0%
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No 25 0.110 $2.70 $-0.80 -22.9%
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 22 0.115 $2.52 $-0.98 -28.1%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $140 in August? Yes 8 0.300 $2.50 $-1.00 -28.6%
Yoon out of custody before 2027? Yes 25 0.097 $2.40 $-1.10 -31.6%
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? Yes 47 0.051 $2.35 $-4.65 -66.4%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? No 25 0.093 $2.30 $-1.20 -34.2%
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Yes 25 0.085 $2.12 $-1.38 -39.3%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $145 in August? Yes 7 0.240 $1.79 $-1.71 -48.9%
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 August 3-9? Yes 18 0.095 $1.75 $-1.75 -50.0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No 35 0.040 $1.40 $-2.10 -60.0%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? Yes 18 0.060 $1.05 $-2.45 -70.0%
Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31? Yes 14 0.067 $0.94 $-0.31 -24.6%
Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7? Yes 32 0.029 $0.91 $-2.59 -74.1%
Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? Yes 23 0.036 $0.85 $-2.65 -75.7%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? Yes 18 0.044 $0.78 $-2.72 -77.8%
Squid FDV above $150M one day after launch Yes 35 0.022 $0.77 $-2.73 -78.0%
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting? No 13 0.005 $0.07 $-1.97 -96.6%