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Trader leaderboard/romanew-cryp

romanew-cryp

0xbd9109baf490cfc9841cec9bb09cecf9aec56262
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$6
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
73%
162W / 59L · 50 open
Win Return (30d)
76%
206W / 65L
Trades (30d)
271
across 37 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
+$0.30
avg win $2 · loss $2
Profit Factor
1.38
$21 won / $15 lost
Reward / Risk
0.80
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$2
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,403 · all-time $238,000

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 79.2% 1,098W/289L 274 $5,133
💵 Economy 72.1% 31W/12L 17 $232
🏛 Politics 100.0% 14W/0L 13 $156
₿ Crypto 67.6% 25W/12L 12 $200
🤖 Tech 100.0% 37W/0L 5 $126
🎬 Culture 100.0% 23W/0L 5 $126
🔬 Science 1 $2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

29 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? Yes 56 0.106 $5.91 $-1.09 -15.5%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026? No 11 0.314 $3.52 $0.02 +0.6%
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31? Yes 20 0.172 $3.39 $-0.11 -3.1%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? No 22 0.140 $3.13 $-0.45 -12.5%
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? No 21 0.151 $3.13 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026? Yes 36 0.086 $3.10 $-3.90 -55.7%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? Yes 31 0.095 $2.98 $-0.47 -13.6%
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes 22 0.135 $2.95 $-0.55 -15.6%
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No 25 0.113 $2.77 $-0.73 -20.8%
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? Yes 25 0.110 $2.75 $-0.75 -21.4%
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? Yes 47 0.056 $2.59 $-4.41 -63.1%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 30 0.085 $2.53 $-0.45 -15.0%
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? Yes 32 0.077 $2.46 $-1.03 -29.5%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? No 25 0.097 $2.39 $-1.11 -31.7%
Yoon out of custody before 2027? Yes 25 0.096 $2.38 $-1.12 -31.9%
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 22 0.105 $2.30 $-1.20 -34.4%
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Yes 25 0.085 $2.12 $-1.38 -39.3%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No 35 0.059 $2.06 $-1.44 -41.0%
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 August 3-9? Yes 18 0.110 $2.03 $-1.47 -42.1%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $140 in August? Yes 8 0.230 $1.92 $-1.58 -45.2%
Squid FDV above $100M one day after launch No 9 0.160 $1.44 $-2.06 -59.0%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $145 in August? Yes 7 0.190 $1.42 $-2.09 -59.6%
Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7? Yes 32 0.041 $1.29 $-2.21 -63.2%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? Yes 18 0.065 $1.14 $-2.36 -67.5%
Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31? Yes 14 0.070 $0.98 $-0.27 -21.2%