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Trader leaderboard/romanew-cryp

romanew-cryp

0xbd9109baf490cfc9841cec9bb09cecf9aec56262
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$10
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+2.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
77%
173W / 51L · 37 open
Win Return (30d)
78%
204W / 57L
Trades (30d)
261
across 33 markets · ~8 per market
EV / position
+$0.52
avg win $2 · loss $2
Profit Factor
1.82
$23 won / $13 lost
Reward / Risk
0.78
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$2
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,591 · all-time $238,131

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 78.9% 1,098W/293L 274 $5,133
💵 Economy 72.1% 31W/12L 17 $232
🏛 Politics 100.0% 15W/0L 13 $156
₿ Crypto 67.6% 25W/12L 12 $200
🤖 Tech 100.0% 37W/0L 5 $126
🎬 Culture 100.0% 23W/0L 5 $126
🔬 Science 1 $2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

29 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? Yes 56 0.106 $5.91 $-1.09 -15.5%
Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess? Yes 14 0.245 $3.52 $0.65 +22.5%
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? No 21 0.153 $3.18 $0.05 +1.7%
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026? Yes 36 0.086 $3.10 $-3.90 -55.7%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? Yes 31 0.095 $2.98 $-0.47 -13.6%
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes 22 0.135 $2.95 $-0.55 -15.6%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 30 0.095 $2.83 $-0.15 -5.0%
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No 25 0.111 $2.74 $-0.76 -21.8%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? No 22 0.120 $2.68 $-0.89 -25.0%
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? Yes 25 0.100 $2.50 $-1.00 -28.6%
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? Yes 32 0.077 $2.45 $-1.05 -30.0%
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? Yes 47 0.052 $2.42 $-4.58 -65.4%
Yoon out of custody before 2027? Yes 25 0.096 $2.38 $-1.12 -31.9%
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 22 0.105 $2.30 $-1.20 -34.4%
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 August 3-9? Yes 18 0.120 $2.21 $-1.29 -36.8%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $140 in August? Yes 8 0.260 $2.17 $-1.33 -38.1%
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Yes 25 0.085 $2.12 $-1.38 -39.3%
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31? Yes 8 0.176 $1.42 $0.42 +42.3%
Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7? Yes 32 0.044 $1.40 $-2.10 -60.0%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $145 in August? Yes 7 0.180 $1.34 $-2.16 -61.7%
Squid FDV above $100M one day after launch No 9 0.135 $1.21 $-2.29 -65.4%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? Yes 18 0.060 $1.05 $-2.45 -70.0%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? No 25 0.042 $1.04 $-2.46 -70.4%
Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31? Yes 14 0.070 $0.98 $-0.27 -21.2%
Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? Yes 23 0.036 $0.85 $-2.65 -75.7%