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Trader leaderboard/pbshine

pbshine

0x9def9524630e31ff90f884eed32c3eecfbf8d1a5
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$2,051
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$720
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+11.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
65%
163W / 88L · 193 open
Win Return (30d)
67%
298W / 146L
Trades (30d)
444
across 21 markets · ~21 per market
EV / position
+$205.08
avg win $1,395 · loss $588
Profit Factor
1.58
$5,581 won / $3,530 lost
Reward / Risk
2.37
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$2,515
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $170,974 · all-time $8,752,737

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 62.9% 1,443W/850L 163 $303,217
⚽ Sports 21.2% 25W/93L 23 $24,317
🏛 Politics 85.7% 114W/19L 11 $16,513
💵 Economy 95.2% 20W/1L 5 $969
🎬 Culture 65.5% 36W/19L 4 $5,562
₿ Crypto 100.0% 20W/0L 4 $348

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

15 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? Yes 13,959 0.325 $4,536.80 $-6.04 -0.1%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes 1,749 0.845 $1,477.70 $1,079.38 +271.0%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? Yes 5,190 0.275 $1,427.26 $121.65 +9.3%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? Yes 1,500 0.665 $997.50 $142.50 +16.7%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? Yes 734 0.615 $451.41 $187.17 +70.8%
Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event? No 1,100 0.400 $440.00 $-76.00 -14.7%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes 4,930 0.080 $394.41 $-518.56 -56.8%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? Yes 7,290 0.045 $328.05 $-36.45 -10.0%
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? Yes 522 0.535 $279.27 $37.67 +15.6%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? Yes 670 0.370 $247.86 $-157.14 -38.8%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? Yes 434 0.305 $132.37 $36.89 +38.6%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes 434 0.245 $106.40 $-10.86 -9.3%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes 1,747 0.025 $43.68 $20.22 +86.2%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes 71 0.440 $31.41 $5.71 +22.2%
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August? Yes 1,000 0.028 $28.00 $3.00 +12.0%