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Trader leaderboard/pbshine

pbshine

0x9def9524630e31ff90f884eed32c3eecfbf8d1a5
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$230
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$210
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
57%
151W / 112L · 96 open
Win Return (30d)
68%
243W / 116L
Trades (30d)
359
across 13 markets · ~28 per market
EV / position
+$28.69
avg win $914 · loss $857
Profit Factor
1.07
$3,657 won / $3,427 lost
Reward / Risk
1.07
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$235
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $164,543 · all-time $8,746,307

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 62.9% 1,443W/850L 163 $303,217
⚽ Sports 21.2% 25W/93L 23 $24,317
🏛 Politics 85.7% 114W/19L 11 $16,513
💵 Economy 95.2% 20W/1L 5 $969
🎬 Culture 65.5% 36W/19L 4 $5,562
₿ Crypto 100.0% 20W/0L 4 $348

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

17 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? Yes 13,959 0.330 $4,606.60 $63.75 +1.4%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes 5,527 0.785 $4,338.60 $3,079.73 +244.6%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? Yes 5,190 0.275 $1,427.26 $121.65 +9.3%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? Yes 2,652 0.470 $1,246.55 $588.81 +89.5%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? Yes 1,500 0.685 $1,027.50 $172.50 +20.2%
Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event? No 1,100 0.395 $434.50 $-81.50 -15.8%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? Yes 734 0.575 $422.05 $157.81 +59.7%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes 4,930 0.070 $345.10 $-567.86 -62.2%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? Yes 7,290 0.045 $328.05 $-36.45 -10.0%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? Yes 670 0.410 $274.66 $-130.34 -32.2%
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? Yes 522 0.495 $258.39 $16.79 +6.9%
ITF Roehampton: Naiktha Bains vs Victoria Allen Naiktha Bains 210 0.715 $150.15 $11.55 +8.3%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? Yes 434 0.305 $132.37 $36.89 +38.6%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes 434 0.250 $108.57 $-8.69 -7.4%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes 1,747 0.025 $43.68 $20.22 +86.2%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes 71 0.365 $26.06 $0.36 +1.4%
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August? Yes 1,000 0.026 $26.00 $1.00 +4.0%