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Trader leaderboard/pbshine

pbshine

0x9def9524630e31ff90f884eed32c3eecfbf8d1a5
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$847
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$134
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+5.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
76%
250W / 78L · 11 open
Win Return (30d)
76%
257W / 82L
Trades (30d)
339
across 12 markets · ~28 per market
EV / position
+$94.12
avg win $735 · loss $706
Profit Factor
1.30
$3,673 won / $2,826 lost
Reward / Risk
1.04
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $164,543 · all-time $8,746,307

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 62.9% 1,443W/850L 163 $303,217
⚽ Sports 21.2% 25W/93L 23 $24,317
🏛 Politics 85.7% 114W/19L 11 $16,513
💵 Economy 95.2% 20W/1L 5 $969
🎬 Culture 65.5% 36W/19L 4 $5,562
₿ Crypto 100.0% 20W/0L 4 $348

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

17 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? Yes 13,959 0.325 $4,536.80 $-6.04 -0.1%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes 5,527 0.785 $4,338.60 $3,079.73 +244.6%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? Yes 5,190 0.275 $1,427.26 $121.65 +9.3%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? Yes 2,652 0.481 $1,277.05 $619.31 +94.2%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? Yes 1,500 0.695 $1,042.35 $187.35 +21.9%
Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event? No 1,100 0.395 $434.50 $-81.50 -15.8%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? Yes 734 0.555 $407.37 $143.13 +54.2%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes 4,930 0.070 $345.10 $-567.86 -62.2%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? Yes 7,290 0.045 $328.05 $-36.45 -10.0%
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? Yes 522 0.535 $279.27 $37.67 +15.6%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? Yes 670 0.385 $257.91 $-147.09 -36.3%
ITF Roehampton: Naiktha Bains vs Victoria Allen Naiktha Bains 210 0.815 $171.13 $32.53 +23.5%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? Yes 434 0.305 $132.37 $36.89 +38.6%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes 434 0.245 $106.40 $-10.86 -9.3%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes 1,747 0.025 $43.68 $20.22 +86.2%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes 71 0.365 $26.06 $0.36 +1.4%
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August? Yes 1,000 0.026 $26.00 $1.00 +4.0%