PnL (30d)

+$13,250

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$4,807

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+8.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

63%

1,443W / 850L · 449 open

Win Return (30d)

63%

1,721W / 1,010L · 11 open

Trades (30d)

2,742

across 163 markets · ~17 per market

EV / position

+$103.51

avg win $793 · loss $544

Profit Factor

1.37

$49,145 won / $35,895 lost

Reward / Risk

1.46

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$8,154

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	62.9% 1,443W/850L	163	$303,217
⚽ Sports	20.8% 25W/95L	24	$24,577
🏛 Politics	85.1% 114W/20L	11	$18,204
💵 Economy	3.2% 1W/30L	6	$2,886
₿ Crypto	3.4% 1W/28L	4	$615
🎬 Culture	65.5% 36W/19L	4	$5,562

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

17 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	13,959	0.330	$4,606.60	$63.75	+1.4%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	5,527	0.785	$4,338.60	$3,079.73	+244.6%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	Yes	5,190	0.275	$1,427.26	$121.65	+9.3%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	Yes	2,652	0.510	$1,353.70	$695.96	+105.8%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	Yes	1,500	0.725	$1,087.50	$232.50	+27.2%
Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?	No	1,100	0.395	$434.50	$-81.50	-15.8%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?	Yes	734	0.570	$418.31	$154.07	+58.3%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	4,930	0.080	$394.41	$-518.56	-56.8%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?	Yes	7,290	0.045	$328.05	$-36.45	-10.0%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	Yes	670	0.410	$274.66	$-130.34	-32.2%
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	522	0.490	$255.78	$14.18	+5.9%
ITF Roehampton: Naiktha Bains vs Victoria Allen	Naiktha Bains	210	0.720	$151.20	$12.60	+9.1%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	434	0.305	$132.37	$36.89	+38.6%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	434	0.250	$108.57	$-8.69	-7.4%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	1,747	0.025	$43.68	$20.22	+86.2%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	71	0.365	$26.06	$0.36	+1.4%
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?	Yes	1,000	0.025	$25.40	$0.40	+1.6%