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Trader leaderboard/pbshine

pbshine

0x9def9524630e31ff90f884eed32c3eecfbf8d1a5
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$1,212
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-28.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
65%
36W / 19L
Win Return (30d)
65%
36W / 19L
Trades (30d)
55
across 4 markets · ~14 per market
EV / position
−$303.03
avg win $1,413 · loss $875
Profit Factor
0.54
$1,413 won / $2,625 lost
Reward / Risk
1.61
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$2,625
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $170,974 · all-time $8,752,737

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 63.0% 1,446W/850L 163 $306,238
⚽ Sports 23.1% 28W/93L 23 $24,317
🏛 Politics 85.7% 114W/19L 11 $16,513
💵 Economy 95.2% 20W/1L 5 $969
🎬 Culture 65.5% 36W/19L 4 $5,562
₿ Crypto 100.0% 20W/0L 4 $348

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

15 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? Yes 13,959 0.330 $4,606.60 $63.75 +1.4%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes 1,749 0.845 $1,477.70 $1,079.38 +271.0%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? Yes 5,190 0.275 $1,427.26 $121.65 +9.3%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? Yes 1,500 0.710 $1,065.00 $210.00 +24.6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? Yes 734 0.625 $458.75 $194.51 +73.6%
Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event? No 1,100 0.405 $445.50 $-70.50 -13.7%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes 4,930 0.080 $394.41 $-518.56 -56.8%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? Yes 7,290 0.045 $328.05 $-36.45 -10.0%
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? Yes 522 0.545 $284.49 $42.89 +17.8%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? Yes 670 0.365 $244.51 $-160.49 -39.6%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? Yes 434 0.295 $128.03 $32.55 +34.1%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes 434 0.245 $106.40 $-10.86 -9.3%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes 1,747 0.025 $43.68 $20.22 +86.2%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes 71 0.435 $31.05 $5.35 +20.8%
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August? Yes 1,000 0.028 $27.50 $2.50 +10.0%