| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
20,987 |
0.980 |
$20,566.98 |
$549.18 |
+2.7% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
13,000 |
0.925 |
$12,024.98 |
$304.77 |
+2.6% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? |
No |
10,455 |
0.961 |
$10,042.33 |
$156.69 |
+1.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
9,750 |
0.825 |
$8,043.39 |
$-743.37 |
-8.5% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
5,600 |
0.935 |
$5,236.01 |
$105.06 |
+2.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
5,312 |
0.973 |
$5,165.45 |
$40.10 |
+0.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
8,233 |
0.615 |
$5,063.60 |
$-626.41 |
-11.0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? |
No |
5,387 |
0.855 |
$4,606.16 |
$75.95 |
+1.7% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? |
No |
4,633 |
0.986 |
$4,566.24 |
$7.02 |
+0.2% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? |
No |
4,366 |
0.905 |
$3,951.25 |
$65.96 |
+1.7% |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? |
No |
3,504 |
0.984 |
$3,447.48 |
$63.00 |
+1.9% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
3,633 |
0.935 |
$3,396.85 |
$20.17 |
+0.6% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
3,733 |
0.855 |
$3,191.63 |
$142.88 |
+4.7% |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? |
No |
3,200 |
0.945 |
$3,023.99 |
$159.74 |
+5.6% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? |
No |
3,008 |
0.975 |
$2,931.13 |
$30.39 |
+1.0% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
3,250 |
0.853 |
$2,770.63 |
$155.28 |
+5.9% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
No |
2,909 |
0.935 |
$2,719.51 |
$79.10 |
+3.0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? |
No |
2,600 |
0.979 |
$2,544.10 |
$31.49 |
+1.3% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
No |
2,600 |
0.973 |
$2,528.50 |
$146.90 |
+6.2% |
| Iran leadership change by August 31? |
No |
2,520 |
0.978 |
$2,464.73 |
$113.00 |
+4.8% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August? |
No |
2,487 |
0.940 |
$2,337.59 |
$-38.25 |
-1.6% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
1,978 |
0.976 |
$1,929.17 |
$-10.59 |
-0.5% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
No |
2,000 |
0.955 |
$1,910.09 |
$-2.00 |
-0.1% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
No |
2,000 |
0.940 |
$1,880.01 |
$145.89 |
+8.4% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,300 |
0.755 |
$1,736.55 |
$85.10 |
+5.2% |