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Trader leaderboard/AlAhmeda

AlAhmeda

0x9d736920e486176e7df7a76fa218f1ebd853216b
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$1,216
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$3,017
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
63%
458W / 269L · 2,609 open
Win Return (30d)
59%
1,941W / 1,366L · 29 open
Trades (30d)
3,336
across 405 markets · ~8 per market
EV / position
−$13.81
avg win $28 · loss $99
Profit Factor
0.58
$1,662 won / $2,878 lost
Reward / Risk
0.28
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$164
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $171,883 · all-time $11,083,715

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 55.8% 1,887W/1,495L 1004 $927,757
🏛 Politics 22.6% 7W/24L 125 $60,751
💵 Economy 15.4% 2W/11L 45 $17,461
₿ Crypto 42.9% 6W/8L 39 $12,101
🤖 Tech 17 $1,339
🎬 Culture 100.0% 3W/0L 12 $1,739
⚽ Sports 5 $1,162
🌤 Weather 25.0% 1W/3L 5 $489
🔬 Science 3 $519

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? No 20,987 0.981 $20,577.47 $559.67 +2.8%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 13,000 0.925 $12,024.98 $304.77 +2.6%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? No 10,455 0.963 $10,063.24 $177.60 +1.8%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No 9,750 0.835 $8,140.89 $-645.87 -7.4%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? No 5,812 0.969 $5,628.45 $20.62 +0.4%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 5,600 0.935 $5,236.01 $105.06 +2.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes 8,233 0.620 $5,104.77 $-585.25 -10.3%
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? No 5,387 0.855 $4,606.16 $75.95 +1.7%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? No 4,633 0.986 $4,566.24 $7.02 +0.2%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No 4,366 0.905 $3,951.25 $65.96 +1.7%
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? No 3,504 0.984 $3,445.72 $61.25 +1.8%
Trump out as President before 2027? No 3,633 0.935 $3,396.85 $20.17 +0.6%
Iran leadership change by December 31? No 3,733 0.855 $3,191.63 $142.88 +4.7%
Iran leadership change by September 30? No 3,200 0.945 $3,023.99 $159.74 +5.6%
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? No 3,008 0.975 $2,931.13 $30.39 +1.0%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes 3,250 0.852 $2,769.01 $153.66 +5.9%
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No 2,909 0.935 $2,719.51 $79.10 +3.0%
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? No 2,600 0.985 $2,561.00 $48.39 +1.9%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? No 2,600 0.966 $2,511.60 $130.00 +5.5%
Iran leadership change by August 31? No 2,520 0.977 $2,460.95 $109.22 +4.6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August? No 2,487 0.945 $2,348.79 $-27.06 -1.1%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? No 1,978 0.976 $1,930.16 $-9.60 -0.5%
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No 2,000 0.954 $1,907.09 $-5.00 -0.3%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? No 1,920 0.940 $1,804.81 $145.09 +8.7%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No 2,300 0.750 $1,725.05 $73.60 +4.5%