| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
20,987 |
0.981 |
$20,577.47 |
$559.67 |
+2.8% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
13,000 |
0.925 |
$12,024.98 |
$304.77 |
+2.6% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? |
No |
10,455 |
0.963 |
$10,063.24 |
$177.60 |
+1.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
9,750 |
0.835 |
$8,140.89 |
$-645.87 |
-7.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
5,812 |
0.969 |
$5,628.45 |
$20.62 |
+0.4% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
5,600 |
0.935 |
$5,236.01 |
$105.06 |
+2.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
8,233 |
0.615 |
$5,063.60 |
$-626.41 |
-11.0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? |
No |
5,387 |
0.855 |
$4,606.16 |
$75.95 |
+1.7% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? |
No |
4,633 |
0.985 |
$4,561.61 |
$2.39 |
+0.1% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? |
No |
4,366 |
0.905 |
$3,951.25 |
$65.96 |
+1.7% |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? |
No |
3,504 |
0.984 |
$3,445.72 |
$61.25 |
+1.8% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
3,633 |
0.935 |
$3,396.85 |
$20.17 |
+0.6% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
3,733 |
0.855 |
$3,191.63 |
$142.88 |
+4.7% |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? |
No |
3,200 |
0.945 |
$3,023.99 |
$159.74 |
+5.6% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? |
No |
3,008 |
0.975 |
$2,931.13 |
$30.39 |
+1.0% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
3,250 |
0.850 |
$2,760.88 |
$145.53 |
+5.6% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
No |
2,909 |
0.935 |
$2,719.51 |
$79.10 |
+3.0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? |
No |
2,600 |
0.986 |
$2,562.30 |
$49.69 |
+2.0% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
No |
2,600 |
0.969 |
$2,519.40 |
$137.80 |
+5.8% |
| Iran leadership change by August 31? |
No |
2,520 |
0.977 |
$2,462.21 |
$110.48 |
+4.7% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August? |
No |
2,487 |
0.938 |
$2,332.62 |
$-43.23 |
-1.8% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
1,978 |
0.976 |
$1,930.16 |
$-9.60 |
-0.5% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
No |
2,000 |
0.954 |
$1,907.09 |
$-5.00 |
-0.3% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
No |
1,920 |
0.945 |
$1,814.41 |
$154.69 |
+9.3% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,300 |
0.750 |
$1,725.05 |
$73.60 |
+4.5% |