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Trader leaderboard/AlAhmeda

AlAhmeda

0x9d736920e486176e7df7a76fa218f1ebd853216b
PnL (30d)
−$13,859
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$3,020
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
56%
1,883W / 1,495L · 5,321 open
Win Return (30d)
56%
4,859W / 3,788L · 52 open
Trades (30d)
8,699
across 1,004 markets · ~9 per market
EV / position
−$36.00
avg win $26 · loss $164
Profit Factor
0.33
$6,757 won / $20,615 lost
Reward / Risk
0.16
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$275
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $163,202 · all-time $11,080,689

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 55.7% 1,883W/1,495L 1004 $927,757
🏛 Politics 26.3% 10W/28L 135 $77,791
💵 Economy 20.0% 3W/12L 52 $19,853
₿ Crypto 40.0% 6W/9L 44 $12,595
🤖 Tech 18 $1,349
🎬 Culture 100.0% 4W/0L 12 $1,745
⚽ Sports 6 $1,162
🌤 Weather 25.0% 1W/3L 5 $489
🔬 Science 3 $519

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? No 20,987 0.981 $20,577.47 $559.67 +2.8%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 13,000 0.925 $12,024.98 $304.77 +2.6%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? No 10,455 0.963 $10,063.24 $177.60 +1.8%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No 9,750 0.835 $8,140.89 $-645.87 -7.4%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? No 5,812 0.968 $5,622.64 $14.81 +0.3%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 5,600 0.935 $5,236.01 $105.06 +2.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes 8,233 0.625 $5,145.94 $-544.08 -9.6%
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? No 5,387 0.855 $4,606.16 $75.95 +1.7%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? No 4,633 0.983 $4,554.66 $-4.56 -0.1%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No 4,366 0.905 $3,951.25 $65.96 +1.7%
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? No 3,504 0.984 $3,447.48 $63.00 +1.9%
Trump out as President before 2027? No 3,633 0.935 $3,396.85 $20.17 +0.6%
Iran leadership change by December 31? No 3,733 0.855 $3,191.63 $142.88 +4.7%
Iran leadership change by September 30? No 3,200 0.945 $3,023.99 $159.74 +5.6%
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? No 3,008 0.975 $2,931.13 $30.39 +1.0%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes 3,250 0.850 $2,760.88 $145.53 +5.6%
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No 2,909 0.935 $2,719.51 $79.10 +3.0%
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? No 2,600 0.986 $2,562.30 $49.69 +2.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? No 2,600 0.969 $2,519.40 $137.80 +5.8%
Iran leadership change by August 31? No 2,520 0.977 $2,462.21 $110.48 +4.7%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August? No 2,487 0.938 $2,331.38 $-44.47 -1.9%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? No 1,978 0.976 $1,930.16 $-9.60 -0.5%
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No 2,000 0.953 $1,905.09 $-7.00 -0.4%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? No 1,920 0.945 $1,814.41 $154.69 +9.3%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No 2,300 0.750 $1,725.05 $73.60 +4.5%