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Trader leaderboard/AlAhmeda

AlAhmeda

0x9d736920e486176e7df7a76fa218f1ebd853216b
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$8,665
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1,393
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-15.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
35%
134W / 252L · 421 open
Win Return (30d)
37%
296W / 508L · 3 open
Trades (30d)
807
across 109 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
−$298.79
avg win $42 · loss $857
Profit Factor
0.08
$764 won / $9,429 lost
Reward / Risk
0.05
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$222
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $172,283 · all-time $11,084,115

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 55.8% 1,887W/1,495L 1004 $927,757
🏛 Politics 22.6% 7W/24L 125 $60,751
💵 Economy 15.4% 2W/11L 45 $17,461
₿ Crypto 42.9% 6W/8L 39 $12,101
🤖 Tech 17 $1,339
🎬 Culture 100.0% 3W/0L 12 $1,739
⚽ Sports 5 $1,162
🌤 Weather 25.0% 1W/3L 5 $489
🔬 Science 3 $519

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? No 20,987 0.979 $20,535.50 $517.70 +2.6%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 13,000 0.925 $12,024.98 $304.77 +2.6%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? No 10,455 0.962 $10,058.02 $172.38 +1.7%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No 9,750 0.835 $8,140.89 $-645.87 -7.4%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? No 5,812 0.973 $5,651.70 $43.87 +0.8%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 5,600 0.935 $5,236.01 $105.06 +2.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes 8,233 0.625 $5,145.94 $-544.08 -9.6%
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? No 5,387 0.855 $4,606.16 $75.95 +1.7%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? No 4,633 0.986 $4,566.24 $7.02 +0.2%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No 4,366 0.905 $3,951.25 $65.96 +1.7%
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? No 3,504 0.983 $3,443.97 $59.50 +1.8%
Trump out as President before 2027? No 3,633 0.935 $3,396.85 $20.17 +0.6%
Iran leadership change by December 31? No 3,733 0.855 $3,191.63 $142.88 +4.7%
Iran leadership change by September 30? No 3,200 0.945 $3,023.99 $159.74 +5.6%
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? No 3,008 0.975 $2,931.13 $30.39 +1.0%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes 3,250 0.853 $2,770.63 $155.28 +5.9%
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No 2,909 0.935 $2,719.51 $79.10 +3.0%
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? No 2,600 0.980 $2,546.70 $34.09 +1.4%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? No 2,600 0.964 $2,506.40 $124.80 +5.2%
Iran leadership change by August 31? No 2,520 0.977 $2,462.21 $110.48 +4.7%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August? No 2,487 0.941 $2,338.84 $-37.01 -1.6%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? No 1,978 0.976 $1,929.17 $-10.59 -0.5%
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No 2,000 0.955 $1,909.09 $-3.00 -0.2%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? No 2,000 0.930 $1,860.01 $125.89 +7.3%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No 2,300 0.750 $1,725.05 $73.60 +4.5%