Log in
Trader leaderboard/Hugin-og-Munin

Hugin-og-Munin

0x8fe730b55cf3468c01a884cfcde79c2dfb4d6c1f
Scoped to Tech — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$113
Tech · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$83
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+4.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
89%
57W / 7L · 225 open
Win Return (30d)
73%
211W / 78L
Trades (30d)
289
across 75 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$6.27
avg win $19 · loss $26
Profit Factor
1.88
$241 won / $128 lost
Reward / Risk
0.72
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $42,558 · all-time $1,156,634

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 62.2% 6,924W/4,211L 7057 $227,502
⚽ Sports 58.7% 869W/612L 880 $29,250
🏛 Politics 75.0% 18W/6L 106 $1,766
💵 Economy 47.1% 8W/9L 92 $1,127
🌤 Weather 59.5% 47W/32L 83 $558
🎬 Culture 59.4% 19W/13L 48 $1,149
🤖 Tech 28 $622
₿ Crypto 43.8% 7W/9L 20 $199
🔬 Science 5 $32

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 524 0.959 $502.24 $18.38 +3.8%
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 524 0.890 $466.36 $174.88 +60.0%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 357 0.905 $323.31 $55.38 +20.7%
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? Yes 411 0.645 $264.85 $172.36 +186.4%
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 357 0.590 $210.63 $27.10 +14.8%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 215 0.940 $202.10 $6.69 +3.4%
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31? Yes 1,071 0.178 $191.24 $29.25 +18.1%
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? No 207 0.905 $187.34 $1.03 +0.6%
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 357 0.505 $180.41 $-47.89 -21.0%
Spread: FK Apolonia Fier (-2.5) Hammarby IF FF 160 1.000 $159.92 $39.92 +33.3%
Spread: Toronto Argonauts (-2.5) Calgary Stampeders 256 0.610 $156.16 $31.76 +25.5%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Chicago White Sox 196 0.705 $138.26 $62.75 +83.1%
Spread: FC Carl Zeiss Jena (-2.5) Bayer Leverkusen 240 0.490 $117.60 $-9.60 -7.5%
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 215 0.545 $117.17 $39.48 +50.8%
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 215 0.545 $117.17 $-22.52 -16.1%
Calgary Stampeders vs. Toronto Argonauts Toronto Argonauts 256 0.455 $116.48 $-3.84 -3.2%
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? Yes 454 0.253 $114.94 $17.27 +17.7%
FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs. Bayer Leverkusen: O/U 5.5 Under 214 0.525 $112.15 $-37.66 -25.1%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 217 0.510 $110.72 $0.01 +0.0%
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%? Yes 166 0.627 $104.15 $43.21 +70.9%
Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? Yes 150 0.645 $97.07 $66.97 +222.5%
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? Yes 230 0.410 $94.16 $23.21 +32.7%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 520 0.165 $85.80 $-137.18 -61.5%
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series? No 85 0.991 $84.19 $4.80 +6.0%
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%? Yes 120 0.699 $83.88 $51.48 +158.9%