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Trader leaderboard/Hugin-og-Munin

Hugin-og-Munin

0x8fe730b55cf3468c01a884cfcde79c2dfb4d6c1f
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$86
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$87
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
75%
178W / 60L · 317 open
Win Return (30d)
64%
347W / 195L · 13 open
Trades (30d)
555
across 323 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$0.72
avg win $4 · loss $8
Profit Factor
1.34
$336 won / $250 lost
Reward / Risk
0.47
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$11
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $41,362 · all-time $1,154,859

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 62.2% 6,911W/4,200L 7033 $226,111
⚽ Sports 58.7% 860W/604L 865 $27,948
🏛 Politics 75.0% 18W/6L 106 $1,766
💵 Economy 47.1% 8W/9L 89 $1,120
🌤 Weather 59.5% 47W/32L 81 $552
🎬 Culture 59.4% 19W/13L 48 $1,149
🤖 Tech 28 $622
₿ Crypto 43.8% 7W/9L 17 $193
🔬 Science 5 $32

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 524 0.957 $501.20 $17.33 +3.6%
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 524 0.890 $466.36 $174.88 +60.0%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 357 0.905 $323.31 $55.38 +20.7%
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? Yes 411 0.644 $264.64 $172.16 +186.1%
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 357 0.590 $210.63 $27.10 +14.8%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 215 0.922 $198.23 $2.82 +1.4%
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 357 0.550 $196.49 $-31.81 -13.9%
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? No 207 0.905 $187.34 $1.03 +0.6%
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31? Yes 1,071 0.153 $163.92 $1.93 +1.2%
FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs. Bayer Leverkusen: O/U 5.5 Under 214 0.680 $145.26 $-4.55 -3.0%
Spread: Toronto Argonauts (-2.5) Calgary Stampeders 256 0.565 $144.61 $20.21 +16.2%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Chicago White Sox 196 0.705 $138.26 $62.75 +83.1%
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 215 0.555 $119.33 $-20.37 -14.6%
Spread: FC Carl Zeiss Jena (-2.5) Bayer Leverkusen 240 0.490 $117.60 $-9.60 -7.5%
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 215 0.545 $117.17 $39.48 +50.8%
Calgary Stampeders vs. Toronto Argonauts Toronto Argonauts 256 0.455 $116.48 $-3.84 -3.2%
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? Yes 454 0.255 $115.85 $18.17 +18.6%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 217 0.515 $111.81 $1.09 +1.0%
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%? Yes 166 0.630 $104.65 $43.71 +71.7%
Spread: FK Apolonia Fier (-2.5) Hammarby IF FF 160 0.640 $102.40 $-17.60 -14.7%
Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? Yes 150 0.640 $96.32 $66.22 +220.0%
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? Yes 230 0.410 $94.16 $23.21 +32.7%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 520 0.165 $85.80 $-137.18 -61.5%
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series? No 85 0.991 $84.19 $4.80 +6.0%
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%? Yes 120 0.699 $83.88 $51.48 +158.9%