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Trader leaderboard/Hugin-og-Munin

Hugin-og-Munin

0x8fe730b55cf3468c01a884cfcde79c2dfb4d6c1f
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$3,456
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$228
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+3.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
61%
3,747W / 2,417L · 550 open
Win Return (30d)
61%
3,963W / 2,568L · 183 open
Trades (30d)
6,714
across 3,137 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$1.23
avg win $18 · loss $20
Profit Factor
1.14
$28,294 won / $24,839 lost
Reward / Risk
0.90
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1,166
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $42,779 · all-time $1,156,856

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 62.2% 6,934W/4,213L 7057 $227,502
⚽ Sports 58.7% 870W/612L 880 $29,250
🏛 Politics 75.0% 18W/6L 106 $1,766
💵 Economy 47.1% 8W/9L 92 $1,127
🌤 Weather 59.5% 47W/32L 83 $558
🎬 Culture 59.4% 19W/13L 48 $1,149
🤖 Tech 28 $622
₿ Crypto 44.4% 8W/10L 20 $199
🔬 Science 5 $32

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 524 0.963 $504.34 $20.47 +4.2%
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 524 0.905 $474.23 $182.74 +62.7%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 357 0.905 $323.31 $55.38 +20.7%
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? Yes 411 0.644 $264.64 $172.16 +186.1%
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 357 0.665 $237.57 $9.27 +4.1%
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31? Yes 1,071 0.195 $208.92 $46.92 +29.0%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 215 0.959 $206.08 $10.67 +5.5%
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? No 207 0.905 $187.34 $1.03 +0.6%
Spread: Toronto Argonauts (-2.5) Calgary Stampeders 256 0.650 $166.40 $42.00 +33.8%
Spread: FK Apolonia Fier (-2.5) Hammarby IF FF 160 1.000 $159.92 $39.92 +33.3%
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 357 0.415 $148.16 $-35.38 -19.3%
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 215 0.655 $140.82 $1.13 +0.8%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Chicago White Sox 196 0.705 $138.26 $62.75 +83.1%
Spread: FC Carl Zeiss Jena (-2.5) Bayer Leverkusen 240 0.505 $121.20 $-6.00 -4.7%
Calgary Stampeders vs. Toronto Argonauts Toronto Argonauts 256 0.455 $116.48 $-3.84 -3.2%
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? Yes 454 0.253 $114.71 $17.04 +17.4%
FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs. Bayer Leverkusen: O/U 5.5 Under 214 0.525 $112.15 $-37.66 -25.1%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 217 0.510 $110.72 $0.01 +0.0%
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%? Yes 166 0.627 $104.15 $43.21 +70.9%
Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? Yes 150 0.645 $97.07 $66.97 +222.5%
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? Yes 230 0.410 $94.16 $23.21 +32.7%
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series? No 85 0.994 $84.45 $5.06 +6.4%
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 215 0.390 $83.85 $6.15 +7.9%
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%? Yes 120 0.699 $83.82 $51.42 +158.7%
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes 97 0.835 $80.87 $52.78 +187.9%