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Trader leaderboard/Hugin-og-Munin

Hugin-og-Munin

0x8fe730b55cf3468c01a884cfcde79c2dfb4d6c1f
PnL (30d)
+$5,900
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$915
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+3.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
62%
6,911W / 4,200L · 3,096 open
Win Return (30d)
61%
8,558W / 5,366L · 283 open
Trades (30d)
14,207
across 7,033 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$1.10
avg win $13 · loss $16
Profit Factor
1.17
$41,326 won / $35,426 lost
Reward / Risk
0.79
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1,223
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $39,996 · all-time $1,154,044

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 62.2% 6,911W/4,200L 7033 $226,111
⚽ Sports 58.7% 932W/655L 938 $30,529
🏛 Politics 75.9% 22W/7L 109 $1,839
🌤 Weather 58.2% 53W/38L 91 $592
💵 Economy 47.1% 8W/9L 90 $1,604
🎬 Culture 62.2% 23W/14L 57 $1,254
🤖 Tech 29 $1,106
₿ Crypto 43.8% 7W/9L 17 $193
🔬 Science 0.0% 0W/4L 7 $44

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 524 0.953 $499.10 $15.23 +3.1%
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 524 0.890 $466.36 $174.88 +60.0%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 357 0.905 $323.31 $55.38 +20.7%
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? Yes 411 0.641 $263.41 $170.93 +184.8%
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 357 0.595 $212.41 $28.88 +15.7%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 215 0.914 $196.51 $1.10 +0.6%
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 357 0.545 $194.70 $-33.60 -14.7%
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? No 207 0.905 $187.34 $1.03 +0.6%
FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs. Bayer Leverkusen: O/U 5.5 Under 214 0.680 $145.26 $-4.55 -3.0%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Chicago White Sox 196 0.705 $138.26 $62.75 +83.1%
Spread: Toronto Argonauts (-2.5) Calgary Stampeders 256 0.525 $134.40 $10.00 +8.0%
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 215 0.550 $118.25 $40.55 +52.2%
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 215 0.550 $118.25 $-21.45 -15.4%
Spread: FC Carl Zeiss Jena (-2.5) Bayer Leverkusen 240 0.490 $117.60 $-9.60 -7.5%
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? Yes 454 0.257 $116.76 $19.08 +19.5%
Calgary Stampeders vs. Toronto Argonauts Toronto Argonauts 256 0.455 $116.48 $-3.84 -3.2%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 217 0.510 $110.72 $0.01 +0.0%
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%? Yes 166 0.630 $104.65 $43.71 +71.7%
Spread: FK Apolonia Fier (-2.5) Hammarby IF FF 160 0.635 $101.60 $-18.40 -15.3%
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? Yes 230 0.410 $94.16 $23.21 +32.7%
Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? Yes 150 0.625 $94.06 $63.96 +212.5%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 520 0.165 $85.80 $-137.18 -61.5%
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series? No 85 0.991 $84.19 $4.80 +6.0%
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%? Yes 120 0.699 $83.88 $51.48 +158.9%
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes 97 0.835 $80.87 $52.78 +187.9%