| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-16 House seat? |
Yes |
321 |
0.935 |
$300.13 |
$1.60 |
+0.5% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-13 House seat? |
No |
268 |
0.966 |
$258.75 |
$9.51 |
+3.8% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
No |
280 |
0.890 |
$249.33 |
$0.03 |
+0.0% |
| Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
299 |
0.740 |
$221.59 |
$58.21 |
+35.6% |
| UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? |
No |
230 |
0.948 |
$217.94 |
$-1.04 |
-0.5% |
| Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027? |
No |
697 |
0.295 |
$205.55 |
$14.46 |
+7.6% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? |
No |
199 |
0.983 |
$195.09 |
$1.89 |
+1.0% |
| Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? |
Yes |
1,249 |
0.120 |
$149.90 |
$-161.30 |
-51.8% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
300 |
0.415 |
$124.45 |
$1.73 |
+1.4% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
125 |
0.853 |
$106.19 |
$6.79 |
+6.8% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat? |
No |
628 |
0.145 |
$91.06 |
$19.15 |
+26.6% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
299 |
0.250 |
$74.78 |
$-8.97 |
-10.7% |
| Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 0 - 0 Bayer Leverkusen? |
Yes |
80 |
0.930 |
$74.40 |
$1.44 |
+2.0% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? |
No |
124 |
0.595 |
$73.55 |
$1.13 |
+1.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 6? |
No |
104 |
0.635 |
$66.00 |
$-1.56 |
-2.3% |
| Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? |
No |
158 |
0.380 |
$60.06 |
$-19.87 |
-24.9% |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
Yes |
194 |
0.307 |
$59.68 |
$-10.86 |
-15.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-11 House seat? |
No |
856 |
0.059 |
$50.51 |
$-35.10 |
-41.0% |
| Will "DTF St. Louis" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? |
No |
50 |
0.994 |
$49.70 |
$10.70 |
+27.4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 6? |
No |
55 |
0.880 |
$48.40 |
$-1.10 |
-2.2% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? |
No |
51 |
0.921 |
$47.02 |
$0.99 |
+2.2% |
| KBO: Lotte Giants vs. KT Wiz |
KT Wiz |
147 |
0.307 |
$45.24 |
$-29.62 |
-39.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 6? |
Yes |
125 |
0.355 |
$44.48 |
$-1.88 |
-4.1% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
300 |
0.130 |
$39.00 |
$-15.00 |
-27.8% |
| Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by August 6? |
No |
40 |
0.967 |
$38.55 |
$0.64 |
+1.7% |