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Trader leaderboard/rocky42016

rocky42016

0x8d88d51a302d3bfb8fc2f71abdfd5f676cbd1e28
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$317
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$209
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
52%
255W / 235L · 789 open
Win Return (30d)
77%
979W / 300L
Trades (30d)
1,279
across 44 markets · ~29 per market
EV / position
−$12.67
avg win $29 · loss $40
Profit Factor
0.48
$290 won / $606 lost
Reward / Risk
0.72
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$6
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $21,474 · all-time $10,742,424

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 48.9% 3,038W/3,178L 480 $187,491
⚽ Sports 60.5% 46W/30L 22 $2,084
🌤 Weather 41.4% 63W/89L 14 $2,104
🏛 Politics 96.7% 59W/2L 13 $8,146
💵 Economy 100.0% 30W/0L 7 $949
🤖 Tech 75.0% 15W/5L 6 $329
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/7L 4 $1,177
₿ Crypto 100.0% 30W/0L 3 $670

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

79 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-16 House seat? Yes 321 0.935 $300.13 $1.60 +0.5%
Will the Republican Party win the NY-13 House seat? No 268 0.966 $258.75 $9.51 +3.8%
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes 299 0.740 $221.59 $58.21 +35.6%
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No 230 0.948 $217.94 $-1.04 -0.5%
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027? No 697 0.295 $205.55 $14.46 +7.6%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No 199 0.983 $195.09 $1.89 +1.0%
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? Yes 1,249 0.120 $149.90 $-161.30 -51.8%
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? No 327 0.415 $135.72 $-29.67 -17.9%
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes 300 0.415 $124.45 $1.73 +1.4%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes 125 0.853 $106.19 $6.79 +6.8%
Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat? No 628 0.145 $91.06 $19.15 +26.6%
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 0 - 0 Bayer Leverkusen? Yes 80 0.959 $76.72 $3.76 +5.2%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No 124 0.595 $73.55 $1.13 +1.6%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes 299 0.245 $73.29 $-10.47 -12.5%
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes 194 0.307 $59.68 $-10.86 -15.4%
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-11 House seat? No 856 0.059 $50.51 $-35.10 -41.0%
Will "DTF St. Louis" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? No 50 0.994 $49.70 $10.70 +27.4%
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? No 51 0.921 $47.02 $0.99 +2.2%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 6? Yes 125 0.365 $45.74 $-0.63 -1.4%
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. KT Wiz KT Wiz 147 0.307 $45.24 $-29.62 -39.6%
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes 300 0.130 $39.00 $-15.00 -27.8%
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by August 6? No 40 0.967 $38.53 $0.62 +1.6%
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? No 36 0.950 $34.37 $2.11 +6.5%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $78 on August 5? Yes 228 0.150 $34.20 $9.12 +36.4%
LoL: Blue Otter vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage Blue Otter 80 0.375 $30.00 $0.40 +1.4%