| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-16 House seat? |
Yes |
321 |
0.935 |
$300.13 |
$1.60 |
+0.5% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-13 House seat? |
No |
268 |
0.966 |
$258.89 |
$9.65 |
+3.9% |
| Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027? |
No |
697 |
0.355 |
$247.36 |
$56.27 |
+29.4% |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $74 on August 5? |
Yes |
300 |
0.805 |
$241.50 |
$4.50 |
+1.9% |
| Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
299 |
0.740 |
$221.59 |
$58.21 |
+35.6% |
| UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? |
No |
230 |
0.949 |
$218.17 |
$-0.81 |
-0.4% |
| Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027? |
No |
329 |
0.662 |
$217.98 |
$-6.21 |
-2.8% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? |
No |
199 |
0.983 |
$195.18 |
$1.99 |
+1.0% |
| Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by August 31? |
No |
234 |
0.785 |
$183.69 |
$1.17 |
+0.6% |
| Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? |
Yes |
1,249 |
0.120 |
$149.90 |
$-161.30 |
-51.8% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
300 |
0.415 |
$124.45 |
$1.73 |
+1.4% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
115 |
0.955 |
$109.68 |
$1.77 |
+1.6% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
125 |
0.852 |
$106.07 |
$6.67 |
+6.7% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat? |
No |
628 |
0.145 |
$91.06 |
$19.15 |
+26.6% |
| Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 0 - 0 Bayer Leverkusen? |
Yes |
80 |
0.931 |
$74.48 |
$1.52 |
+2.1% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? |
No |
124 |
0.595 |
$73.55 |
$1.13 |
+1.6% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
299 |
0.245 |
$73.29 |
$-10.47 |
-12.5% |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
Yes |
194 |
0.307 |
$59.68 |
$-10.86 |
-15.4% |
| Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? |
No |
158 |
0.375 |
$59.27 |
$-20.66 |
-25.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-11 House seat? |
No |
856 |
0.059 |
$50.51 |
$-35.10 |
-41.0% |
| Will "DTF St. Louis" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? |
No |
50 |
0.995 |
$49.73 |
$10.72 |
+27.5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on August 5? |
No |
85 |
0.575 |
$48.75 |
$-1.87 |
-3.7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 6? |
Yes |
125 |
0.385 |
$48.24 |
$1.88 |
+4.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 6? |
No |
55 |
0.875 |
$48.12 |
$-1.38 |
-2.8% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? |
No |
51 |
0.921 |
$46.99 |
$0.97 |
+2.1% |