| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-16 House seat? |
Yes |
321 |
0.935 |
$300.13 |
$1.60 |
+0.5% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-13 House seat? |
No |
268 |
0.966 |
$258.89 |
$9.65 |
+3.9% |
| Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
299 |
0.740 |
$221.59 |
$58.21 |
+35.6% |
| UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? |
No |
230 |
0.948 |
$218.06 |
$-0.92 |
-0.4% |
| Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027? |
No |
697 |
0.290 |
$202.07 |
$10.98 |
+5.7% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? |
No |
199 |
0.983 |
$195.18 |
$1.99 |
+1.0% |
| Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? |
Yes |
1,249 |
0.120 |
$149.90 |
$-161.30 |
-51.8% |
| Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? |
No |
327 |
0.415 |
$135.72 |
$-29.67 |
-17.9% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
300 |
0.415 |
$124.45 |
$1.73 |
+1.4% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
125 |
0.850 |
$105.82 |
$6.42 |
+6.5% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat? |
No |
628 |
0.145 |
$91.06 |
$19.15 |
+26.6% |
| Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 0 - 0 Bayer Leverkusen? |
Yes |
80 |
0.958 |
$76.64 |
$3.68 |
+5.0% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
299 |
0.250 |
$74.78 |
$-8.97 |
-10.7% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? |
No |
124 |
0.595 |
$73.55 |
$1.13 |
+1.6% |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
Yes |
194 |
0.305 |
$59.39 |
$-11.15 |
-15.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-11 House seat? |
No |
856 |
0.059 |
$50.08 |
$-35.53 |
-41.5% |
| Will "DTF St. Louis" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? |
No |
50 |
0.990 |
$49.48 |
$10.47 |
+26.9% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? |
No |
51 |
0.921 |
$47.02 |
$0.99 |
+2.2% |
| KBO: Lotte Giants vs. KT Wiz |
KT Wiz |
147 |
0.307 |
$45.24 |
$-29.62 |
-39.6% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
300 |
0.130 |
$39.00 |
$-15.00 |
-27.8% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
Yes |
300 |
0.115 |
$34.47 |
$-66.40 |
-65.8% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? |
No |
36 |
0.949 |
$34.36 |
$2.10 |
+6.5% |
| Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
300 |
0.100 |
$30.00 |
$-18.00 |
-37.5% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
1,244 |
0.024 |
$29.24 |
$-9.06 |
-23.7% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
No |
193 |
0.150 |
$28.98 |
$-12.49 |
-30.1% |