| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-16 House seat? |
Yes |
321 |
0.935 |
$300.13 |
$1.60 |
+0.5% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-13 House seat? |
No |
268 |
0.967 |
$259.02 |
$9.78 |
+3.9% |
| Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027? |
No |
697 |
0.320 |
$222.97 |
$31.88 |
+16.7% |
| Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
299 |
0.740 |
$221.59 |
$58.21 |
+35.6% |
| UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? |
No |
230 |
0.949 |
$218.17 |
$-0.81 |
-0.4% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? |
No |
199 |
0.983 |
$195.18 |
$1.99 |
+1.0% |
| Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? |
Yes |
1,249 |
0.120 |
$149.90 |
$-161.30 |
-51.8% |
| Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? |
No |
327 |
0.415 |
$135.72 |
$-29.67 |
-17.9% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
300 |
0.415 |
$124.45 |
$1.73 |
+1.4% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
125 |
0.852 |
$106.13 |
$6.73 |
+6.8% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat? |
No |
628 |
0.145 |
$91.06 |
$19.15 |
+26.6% |
| Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 0 - 0 Bayer Leverkusen? |
Yes |
80 |
0.958 |
$76.64 |
$3.68 |
+5.0% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
299 |
0.250 |
$74.78 |
$-8.97 |
-10.7% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? |
No |
124 |
0.595 |
$73.55 |
$1.13 |
+1.6% |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
Yes |
194 |
0.305 |
$59.39 |
$-11.15 |
-15.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-11 House seat? |
No |
856 |
0.059 |
$50.51 |
$-35.10 |
-41.0% |
| Will "DTF St. Louis" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? |
No |
50 |
0.994 |
$49.70 |
$10.70 |
+27.4% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? |
No |
51 |
0.921 |
$46.99 |
$0.97 |
+2.1% |
| KBO: Lotte Giants vs. KT Wiz |
KT Wiz |
147 |
0.307 |
$45.24 |
$-29.62 |
-39.6% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
300 |
0.130 |
$39.00 |
$-15.00 |
-27.8% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? |
No |
36 |
0.949 |
$34.36 |
$2.10 |
+6.5% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
Yes |
300 |
0.110 |
$32.98 |
$-67.90 |
-67.3% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
1,244 |
0.024 |
$29.24 |
$-9.06 |
-23.7% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
No |
193 |
0.148 |
$28.50 |
$-12.97 |
-31.3% |
| Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
300 |
0.095 |
$28.50 |
$-19.50 |
-40.6% |